BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.
BCSF's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, above its usual 8.5x. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply, though they disagree widely on how much.
CIFR
Cipher Mining Inc.
There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.
BCSF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BCSF's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BCSF.
CIFR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.
BCSF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.3x | $7.02 | -37% |
| Forward | 8.1x | $11.06 | โ |
| Fair | 8.5x | $8.15 | -26% |
| Expensive | 10x | $9.56 | -14% |
| Current | 12x | $11.06 | โ |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BCSF's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.1x, in its cheap range.
CIFR PE Valuation
CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BCSF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BCSF's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CIFR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
CIFR has the edge over BCSF on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
BCSF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.37 | +43% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.96 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.99 | -40% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.14 | -34% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.53 | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.44 | -28% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.66 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.74 | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.85 | -2.6% |
BCSF has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
CIFR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.06 | -$2.86 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.85 | -$2.40 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.32 | -$1.94 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.15 | -$2.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.20 | -$0.07 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.45 | -850% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.38 | -733% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.14 | -$0.04 |
CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.
BCSF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | $30.4M | -40% |
| Q1 2022 | $46.3M | +5.3% |
| Q4 2021 | $40.7M | -22% |
| Q3 2021 | $40.4M | -41% |
| Q2 2021 | $50.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2020 | $52.5M | +27% |
BCSF has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 40% for BCSF versus down 63% for CIFR.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 57% | -28 points |
| Q1 2022 | 73% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2021 | 55% | -21 points |
| Q3 2021 | 58% | -18 points |
| Q2 2021 | 84% | +31 points |
| Q1 2021 | 72% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 76% | +24 points |
| Q3 2020 | 76% | N/A |
BCSF's operating margin was 57% last quarter, down 28 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CIFR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.7M | -63% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.8M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.8M | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.7M | +41% |
| Q3 2025 | $71.7M | +198% |
| Q2 2025 | $43.6M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $49M | +1.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.2M | -2.8% |
CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -269% | -217 points |
| Q2 2026 | -316% | -212 points |
| Q1 2026 | -329% | -251 points |
| Q4 2025 | -503% | -544 points |
| Q3 2025 | -52% | +327 points |
| Q2 2025 | -104% | -60 points |
| Q1 2025 | -78% | -175 points |
| Q4 2024 | 40% | +4 points |
CIFR's operating margin was โ269% last quarter, down 217 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BCSF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $137.9M | +1433% |
| Q2 2026 | $70.8M | +10858% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.6M | +$33.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $27.2M | +$47.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $9M | +$144.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $646K | -100% |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.3M | +$56.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$20M | -107% |
BCSF has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
CIFR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.7B | -$1.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$653.8M | -$566.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$462.5M | -$390.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$280.3M | -$204.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$256.2M | -$173.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$87.5M | -$54.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$71.8M | -$37.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$76.1M | +$38M |
CIFR's free cash flow was โ$3.1B over the past year, against โ$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.
BCSF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 12.4x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 8.3x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 10.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 9.6x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 7.7x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 9.0x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 165.0x | High |
| Q4 2019 | 10.6x | High |
BCSF's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCSF.
CIFR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 125.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.
BCSF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.3 | Neutral |
BCSF's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
CIFR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.8 | Oversold |
CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
BCSF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BCSF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 12% below |
| PE % | 93 | 63 | 30 pts above |
BCSF is trading at 12x earnings, a 12% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | CIFR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 13x | โ |
CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BCSF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.8 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.7 | 5.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.6 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.2 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.7 | 25% below |
BCSF has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CIFR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.6 | 33% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.5 | 54% below |
| 50 week MA | $17.0 | 58% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.2 | 41% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.86 | 9% below |
CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.
BCSF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.2 | $12.4 | -38% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.6 | +25% |
| 2022 | $15.6 | $12.5 | -19% |
| 2023 | $12.5 | $15.1 | +20% |
| 2024 | $15.1 | $17.7 | +17% |
| 2025 | $17.7 | $13.9 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.9 | $11.1 | -21% |
BCSF has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CIFR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.92 | $9.95 | +0.3% |
| 2021 | $9.95 | $5.21 | -48% |
| 2022 | $5.21 | $0.54 | -90% |
| 2023 | $0.54 | $4.13 | +665% |
| 2024 | $4.13 | $4.86 | +18% |
| 2025 | $4.86 | $15.2 | +213% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.2 | $7.15 | -53% |
CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โ90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.