BCSF

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.

27
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BCSF's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, above its usual 8.5x. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply, though they disagree widely on how much.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

BCSF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BCSF's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BCSF.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

BCSF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$7.02-37%
Forward8.1x$11.06โ€”
Fair8.5x$8.15-26%
Expensive10x$9.56-14%
Current12x$11.06โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BCSF's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.1x, in its cheap range.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BCSF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BCSF's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over BCSF on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

BCSF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$12.73
Downside-14%$9.56

Calculated from the latest close: $11.06 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BCSF and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BCSF and CIFR's risk to reward.

BCSF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $1.85Q1 2025: $1.74Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $0.99Q3 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.37
Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $1.85Q1 2025: $1.74Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $0.99Q3 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.37+43%
Q3 2026$0.96-33%
Q2 2026$0.99-40%
Q1 2026$1.14-34%
Q4 2025$1.53-17%
Q3 2025$1.44-28%
Q2 2025$1.66-17%
Q1 2025$1.74-13%
Q4 2024$1.85-2.6%

BCSF has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

BCSF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$30.4M-40%
Q1 2022$46.3M+5.3%
Q4 2021$40.7M-22%
Q3 2021$40.4M-41%
Q2 2021$50.3M+23%
Q4 2020$52.5M+27%

BCSF has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 40% for BCSF versus down 63% for CIFR.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

BCSF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: โˆ’$64MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: โˆ’$136MQ4 2024: โˆ’$20MQ1 2025: โˆ’$7MQ2 2025: $646,000Q3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: โˆ’$64MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: โˆ’$136MQ4 2024: โˆ’$20MQ1 2025: โˆ’$7MQ2 2025: $646,000Q3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$137.9M+1433%
Q2 2026$70.8M+10858%
Q1 2026$26.6M+$33.9M
Q4 2025$27.2M+$47.1M
Q3 2025$9M+$144.8M
Q2 2025$646K-100%
Q1 2025-$7.3M+$56.4M
Q4 2024-$20M-107%

BCSF has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

BCSF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+0.5%+306K shares
5 years+0.5%+306K shares
Available history+26%+13.2M shares

BCSF has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

BCSF Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202212.4xHigh
Q1 20228.3xHigh
Q4 202110.8xHigh
Q3 20219.6xHigh
Q2 20217.7xHigh
Q1 20219.0xHigh
Q4 2020165.0xHigh
Q4 201910.6xHigh

BCSF's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCSF.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

BCSF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic31.3Neutral

BCSF's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BCSF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBCSFSector medianRelative
PE12x13x12% below
PE %936330 pts above

BCSF is trading at 12x earnings, a 12% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BCSF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.82.8% above
20 week MA$11.75.1% below
50 week MA$12.612% below
100 week MA$14.222% below
200 week MA$14.725% below

BCSF has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

BCSF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.2$12.4-38%
2021$12.4$15.6+25%
2022$15.6$12.5-19%
2023$12.5$15.1+20%
2024$15.1$17.7+17%
2025$17.7$13.9-21%
2026 YTD$13.9$11.1-21%

BCSF has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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