BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.
BCSF has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BLK
BlackRock, Inc.
BLK has the edge over BCSF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BCSF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BCSF's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BCSF.
BLK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.
BCSF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.3x | $7.02 | -37% |
| Forward | 8.1x | $11.06 | — |
| Fair | 8.5x | $8.15 | -26% |
| Expensive | 10x | $9.56 | -14% |
| Current | 12x | $11.06 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BCSF's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.1x, in its cheap range.
BLK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $848 | -30% |
| Fair | 22x | $973 | -20% |
| Expensive | 26x | $1,149 | -5.5% |
| Current | 28x | $1,217 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BLK has the edge over BCSF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BCSF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BCSF's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BLK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.
BCSF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.37 | +43% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.96 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.99 | -40% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.14 | -34% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.53 | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.44 | -28% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.66 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.74 | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.85 | -2.6% |
BCSF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.96 over the past year, against $2.56 in mid-2021.
BLK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43.87 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $41.73 | -0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $39.73 | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $35.31 | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.42 | -2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $41.89 | +4% |
| Q1 2025 | $41.69 | +5.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.53 | +16% |
BLK has the edge over BCSF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BCSF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | $30.4M | -40% |
| Q1 2022 | $46.3M | +5.3% |
| Q4 2021 | $40.7M | -22% |
| Q3 2021 | $40.4M | -41% |
| Q2 2021 | $50.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2020 | $52.5M | +27% |
BLK has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 40% for BCSF versus up 19% for BLK.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 57% | -28 points |
| Q1 2022 | 73% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2021 | 55% | -21 points |
| Q3 2021 | 58% | -18 points |
| Q2 2021 | 84% | +31 points |
| Q1 2021 | 72% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 76% | +24 points |
| Q3 2020 | 76% | N/A |
BCSF's operating margin was 57% last quarter, down 28 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BLK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.8B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.7B | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $7B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.5B | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.3B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +23% |
BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 35% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 42% | +9.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 24% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | -8.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | -5.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +2.3 points |
BLK's operating margin was 30% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BCSF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $137.9M | +1433% |
| Q2 2026 | $70.8M | +10858% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.6M | +$33.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $27.2M | +$47.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $9M | +$144.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $646K | -100% |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.3M | +$56.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$20M | -107% |
BCSF has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BLK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6B | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | +$120M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | -6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.2B | -$734M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | +35% |
| Q2 2024 | $1.4B | +47% |
BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.
BCSF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | +0.5% | +306K shares |
| 5 years | +0.5% | +306K shares |
| Available history | +26% | +13.2M shares |
BCSF has 65M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
BLK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -148K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -677K shares |
| 3 years | +9.3% | +14M shares |
| 5 years | +6.2% | +9.6M shares |
| Available history | +4.4% | +7M shares |
BLK has the edge over BCSF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $396M |
| Q1 2025 | $657M |
| Q4 2024 | $386M |
| Q2 2024 | $519M |
| Q1 2024 | $634M |
| Q4 2023 | $384M |
| Q3 2023 | $396M |
| Q2 2023 | $383M |
BCSF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 12.4x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 8.3x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 10.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 9.6x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 7.7x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 9.0x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 165.0x | High |
| Q4 2019 | 10.6x | High |
BCSF's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCSF.
BLK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.
BCSF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.3 | Neutral |
BCSF's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
BLK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.0 | Neutral |
BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
BCSF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BCSF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 12% below |
| PE % | 93 | 63 | 30 pts above |
BCSF has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.
BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BLK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 113% above |
| PE % | 97 | 63 | 34 pts above |
BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
BCSF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.8 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.7 | 5.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.6 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.2 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.7 | 25% below |
BCSF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 25% below its 200-week average.
BLK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,128.0 | 7.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,108.9 | 9.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,071.6 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $1,051.1 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $914.1 | 33% above |
BLK has the edge over BCSF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BCSF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.2 | $12.4 | -38% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.6 | +25% |
| 2022 | $15.6 | $12.5 | -19% |
| 2023 | $12.5 | $15.1 | +20% |
| 2024 | $15.1 | $17.7 | +17% |
| 2025 | $17.7 | $13.9 | -21% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.9 | $11.1 | -21% |
BCSF has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
BLK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $503.0 | $707.2 | +41% |
| 2021 | $707.2 | $913.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $913.9 | $703.9 | -23% |
| 2023 | $703.9 | $811.8 | +15% |
| 2024 | $811.8 | $1,044.2 | +29% |
| 2025 | $1,044.2 | $1,088.1 | +4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,088.1 | $1,216.6 | +12% |
BLK has the edge over BCSF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.