BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

There isn't enough reported data to score BAER yet.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

BAER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Weak

BAER's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BAER PE Valuation

BAER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BAER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BAER's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over BAER on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

BAER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.26 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BAER and RKLB's risk to reward.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BAER and RKLB's risk to reward.

BAER Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.81Q1 2025: $-0.67
Q3 2023: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.81Q1 2025: $-0.67

BAER lost $0.67 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB has the edge over BAER in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

BAER Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $54MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $30M
Q3 2023: $54MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $30M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$30.5M-0.8%
Q1 2026$8.5M-46%
Q4 2025$8.5M-45%
Q3 2025$67.9M+5.2%
Q2 2025$30.8M+136%
Q1 2025$15.6M+184%
Q4 2024$15.6M+1306%
Q3 2024$64.5M+20%

BAER's revenue is shrinking: $30M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over BAER on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAER Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$951,000Q4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $515,000Q3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$18M
Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$951,000Q4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $515,000Q3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$18.5M-3686%
Q1 2026-$26.8M-$5.8M
Q4 2025-$78.4M-1056%
Q3 2025$34.6M+$35.6M
Q2 2025$515K+$24.1M
Q1 2025-$21M-$248K
Q4 2024$8.2M-32%
Q3 2024-$951K-115%

BAER has burned cash in most quarters: −$89M over the past year, against −$13M the year before.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has the edge over BAER on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAER Total Shares

Q3 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 55M
Q3 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-40%-36.8M shares
1 year+14%+7M shares
3 years+28%+12.2M shares

BAER has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

BAER Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 67.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 6.4xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 15.1xQ2 2026: 26.4x
Q3 2024: 67.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 6.4xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 15.1xQ2 2026: 26.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202626.4xHigh
Q1 202615.1xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20256.4xHigh
Q4 20247.3xHigh
Q3 202467.9xHigh

BAER's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.6 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BAER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI22.5Oversold
Stochastic3.2Oversold

BAER's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

BAER PE vs Industrials Sector

BAER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BAER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.4947% below
20 week MA$1.0876% below
50 week MA$1.7085% below
100 week MA$1.7885% below
200 week MA$3.4192% below

BAER is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over BAER on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.69$9.77+0.8%
2022$9.77$10.1+3.4%
2023$10.1$6.91-32%
2024$6.91$2.09-70%
2025$2.09$1.70-19%
2026 YTD$1.70$0.26-85%

BAER has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 85% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over BAER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key