BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

There isn't enough reported data to score BAER yet.

BAER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Weak

BAER's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

BAER PE Valuation

BAER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BAER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BAER's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

BAER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.26 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to assess BAER's risk to reward.

BAER Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.81Q1 2025: $-0.67
Q3 2023: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.81Q1 2025: $-0.67

BAER lost $0.67 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

BAER Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $54MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $30M
Q3 2023: $54MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $30M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$30.5M-0.8%
Q1 2026$8.5M-46%
Q4 2025$8.5M-45%
Q3 2025$67.9M+5.2%
Q2 2025$30.8M+136%
Q1 2025$15.6M+184%
Q4 2024$15.6M+1306%
Q3 2024$64.5M+20%

BAER's revenue is shrinking: $30M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BAER Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: โˆ’$21MQ2 2024: โˆ’$24MQ3 2024: โˆ’$951,000Q4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: โˆ’$21MQ2 2025: $515,000Q3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: โˆ’$78MQ1 2026: โˆ’$27MQ2 2026: โˆ’$18M
Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: โˆ’$21MQ2 2024: โˆ’$24MQ3 2024: โˆ’$951,000Q4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: โˆ’$21MQ2 2025: $515,000Q3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: โˆ’$78MQ1 2026: โˆ’$27MQ2 2026: โˆ’$18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$18.5M-3686%
Q1 2026-$26.8M-$5.8M
Q4 2025-$78.4M-1056%
Q3 2025$34.6M+$35.6M
Q2 2025$515K+$24.1M
Q1 2025-$21M-$248K
Q4 2024$8.2M-32%
Q3 2024-$951K-115%

BAER has burned cash in most quarters: โˆ’$89M over the past year, against โˆ’$13M the year before.

BAER Total Shares

Q3 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 55M
Q3 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-40%-36.8M shares
1 year+14%+7M shares
3 years+28%+12.2M shares

BAER has 55M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

BAER Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 67.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 6.4xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 15.1xQ2 2026: 26.4x
Q3 2024: 67.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 6.4xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 15.1xQ2 2026: 26.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202626.4xHigh
Q1 202615.1xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20256.4xHigh
Q4 20247.3xHigh
Q3 202467.9xHigh

BAER's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.6 years a year ago.

BAER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI22.5Oversold
Stochastic3.2Oversold

BAER's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

BAER PE vs Industrials Sector

BAER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BAER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.4947% below
20 week MA$1.0876% below
50 week MA$1.7085% below
100 week MA$1.7885% below
200 week MA$3.4192% below

BAER is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.

BAER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.69$9.77+0.8%
2022$9.77$10.1+3.4%
2023$10.1$6.91-32%
2024$6.91$2.09-70%
2025$2.09$1.70-19%
2026 YTD$1.70$0.26-85%

BAER has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 85% so far in 2026.

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