BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

There isn't enough reported data to score BAER yet.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink.

BAER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak
Weak

BAER's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BAER PE Valuation

BAER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BAER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BAER's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over BAER on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

BAER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.26 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BAER and RDW's risk to reward.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BAER and RDW's risk to reward.

BAER Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.81Q1 2025: $-0.67
Q3 2023: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.81Q1 2025: $-0.67

BAER lost $0.67 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW has the edge over BAER in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

BAER Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $54MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $30M
Q3 2023: $54MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $30M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$30.5M-0.8%
Q1 2026$8.5M-46%
Q4 2025$8.5M-45%
Q3 2025$67.9M+5.2%
Q2 2025$30.8M+136%
Q1 2025$15.6M+184%
Q4 2024$15.6M+1306%
Q3 2024$64.5M+20%

BAER's revenue is shrinking: $30M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over BAER on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAER Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$951,000Q4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $515,000Q3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$18M
Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$951,000Q4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $515,000Q3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$18.5M-3686%
Q1 2026-$26.8M-$5.8M
Q4 2025-$78.4M-1056%
Q3 2025$34.6M+$35.6M
Q2 2025$515K+$24.1M
Q1 2025-$21M-$248K
Q4 2024$8.2M-32%
Q3 2024-$951K-115%

BAER has burned cash in most quarters: −$89M over the past year, against −$13M the year before.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

BAER Total Shares

Q3 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 55M
Q3 2023: 79MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-40%-36.8M shares
1 year+14%+7M shares
3 years+28%+12.2M shares

BAER has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

BAER Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 67.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 6.4xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 15.1xQ2 2026: 26.4x
Q3 2024: 67.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 6.4xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 15.1xQ2 2026: 26.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202626.4xHigh
Q1 202615.1xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20256.4xHigh
Q4 20247.3xHigh
Q3 202467.9xHigh

BAER's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.6 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BAER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI22.5Oversold
Stochastic3.2Oversold

BAER's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BAER PE vs Industrials Sector

BAER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BAER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.4947% below
20 week MA$1.0876% below
50 week MA$1.7085% below
100 week MA$1.7885% below
200 week MA$3.4192% below

BAER is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

BAER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.69$9.77+0.8%
2022$9.77$10.1+3.4%
2023$10.1$6.91-32%
2024$6.91$2.09-70%
2025$2.09$1.70-19%
2026 YTD$1.70$0.26-85%

BAER has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 85% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over BAER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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