BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
There isn't enough reported data to score BAER yet.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
BAER Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
BAER's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BAER PE Valuation
BAER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BAER Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect BAER's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over BAER on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
BAER Earnings Per Share
BAER lost $0.67 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over BAER in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
BAER Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $30.5M | -0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.5M | -46% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.5M | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $67.9M | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $30.8M | +136% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6M | +184% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.6M | +1306% |
| Q3 2024 | $64.5M | +20% |
BAER's revenue is shrinking: $30M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.6% | -20 points |
| Q1 2026 | -367% | -303 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | -127 points |
| Q3 2025 | 57% | +6.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +55 points |
| Q1 2025 | -65% | +213 points |
| Q4 2024 | -48% | +2288 points |
| Q3 2024 | 51% | +8.8 points |
BAER's operating margin was −1.6% last quarter, down 20 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over BAER on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over BAER on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BAER Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$18.5M | -3686% |
| Q1 2026 | -$26.8M | -$5.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$78.4M | -1056% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.6M | +$35.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $515K | +$24.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$21M | -$248K |
| Q4 2024 | $8.2M | -32% |
| Q3 2024 | -$951K | -115% |
BAER has burned cash in most quarters: −$89M over the past year, against −$13M the year before.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over BAER on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BAER Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -40% | -36.8M shares |
| 1 year | +14% | +7M shares |
| 3 years | +28% | +12.2M shares |
BAER has 55M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over BAER on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
BAER Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 26.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 15.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 67.9x | High |
BAER's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.6 years a year ago.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over BAER on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BAER Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 22.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 3.2 | Oversold |
BAER's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BAER PE vs Industrials Sector
BAER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
BAER Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.49 | 47% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.08 | 76% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.70 | 85% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.78 | 85% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.41 | 92% below |
BAER is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over BAER on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BAER Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.69 | $9.77 | +0.8% |
| 2022 | $9.77 | $10.1 | +3.4% |
| 2023 | $10.1 | $6.91 | -32% |
| 2024 | $6.91 | $2.09 | -70% |
| 2025 | $2.09 | $1.70 | -19% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.70 | $0.26 | -85% |
BAER has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 85% so far in 2026.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over BAER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.