BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over WU overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WU

The Western Union Company

35
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

WU trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

WU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

WU's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WU.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over WU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$6.65—
Cheap4.8x$5.02-25%
Current6.3x$6.65—
Fair6.8x$7.12+7.1%
Expensive11x$11.13+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WU's PE is in its fair range at 6.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.6x, in its cheap range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over WU on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

WU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect WU's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WU, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$7.56
Downside-25%$5.02

Calculated from the latest close: $6.65 on Nov 12.

WU trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over WU on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.68Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $2.74Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.65Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.36Q2 2026: $1.23Q3 2026: $1.05Forward: $1.44
Q4 2023: $1.68Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $2.74Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.65Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.36Q2 2026: $1.23Q3 2026: $1.05Forward: $1.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.44+37%
Q3 2026$1.05-54%
Q2 2026$1.23-54%
Q1 2026$1.36-49%
Q4 2025$1.52-45%
Q3 2025$2.30+18%
Q2 2025$2.65+63%
Q1 2025$2.69+59%
Q4 2024$2.74+63%

WU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.05 over the past year, against $2.74 in late 2024.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over WU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $984MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $984MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B-2.3%
Q2 2026$1B-1.3%
Q1 2026$982.7M-0.1%
Q4 2025$1B-4.7%
Q3 2025$1B-0.3%
Q2 2025$1B-3.8%
Q1 2025$983.6M-6.2%
Q4 2024$1.1B+0.6%

WU's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $1B last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

WU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: $100M
Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$99.9M-60%
Q2 2026$94.6M+$102.4M
Q1 2026$102.6M-29%
Q4 2025$115.5M-3.5%
Q3 2025$252.7M+23%
Q2 2025-$7.8M+$31.1M
Q1 2025$144.8M+74%
Q4 2024$119.7M-54%

WU's free cash flow was $413M over the past year, down 19% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WU.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over WU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 372MQ1 2024: 346MQ2 2024: 340MQ3 2024: 340MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 339MQ2 2025: 330MQ3 2025: 323MQ4 2025: 328MQ1 2026: 317MQ2 2026: 314MQ3 2026: 314M
Q4 2023: 372MQ1 2024: 346MQ2 2024: 340MQ3 2024: 340MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 339MQ2 2025: 330MQ3 2025: 323MQ4 2025: 328MQ1 2026: 317MQ2 2026: 314MQ3 2026: 314M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-100K shares
1 year-2.9%-9.3M shares
3 years-16%-61.5M shares
5 years-23%-94.5M shares
Available history-26%-111M shares

WU has 314M diluted shares, down 2.9% from a year ago, with $92M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

WU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

WU has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

WU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic38.7Neutral

WU's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

WU PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWUSector medianRelative
PE6.3x13x51% below
PE %426321 pts below

WU has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

WU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.315.4% above
20 week MA$6.964.5% below
50 week MA$8.1719% below
100 week MA$8.7724% below
200 week MA$10.537% below

WU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 37% below its 200-week average.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has the edge over WU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$21.9-20%
2021$21.9$17.8-19%
2022$17.8$13.8-22%
2023$13.8$11.9-14%
2024$11.9$10.7-10%
2025$10.7$9.40-12%
2026 YTD$9.40$6.65-29%

WU has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 29% so far in 2026.

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