BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

UVE

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

64
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

UVE has the edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

UVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

UVE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UVE.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

UVE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x41x62x83x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.1x$48.57—
Cheap7x$55.89+15%
Fair10x$82.24+69%
Forward13x$48.57—
Expensive24x$195+302%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UVE has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over UVE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

UVE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect UVE's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UVE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$60.50
Downside-16%$40.84

Calculated from the latest close: $48.57 on Nov 12.

UVE trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.19 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

UVE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.55Q2 2024: $2.83Q3 2024: $2.46Q4 2024: $1.99Q1 2025: $2.29Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $4.24Q4 2025: $6.31Q1 2026: $6.75Q2 2026: $7.58Q3 2026: $8.00Forward: $3.88
Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.55Q2 2024: $2.83Q3 2024: $2.46Q4 2024: $1.99Q1 2025: $2.29Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $4.24Q4 2025: $6.31Q1 2026: $6.75Q2 2026: $7.58Q3 2026: $8.00Forward: $3.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.88-51%
Q3 2026$8.00+89%
Q2 2026$7.58+231%
Q1 2026$6.75+195%
Q4 2025$6.31+217%
Q3 2025$4.24+72%
Q2 2025$2.29-19%
Q1 2025$2.29-10%
Q4 2024$1.99-9.5%

UVE earned $8.00 per share over the past year, up 89% from the year before.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over UVE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UVE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $375MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $388MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $401MQ4 2025: $408MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $427MQ3 2026: $439M
Q4 2023: $375MQ1 2024: $368MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $388MQ4 2024: $385MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: $400MQ3 2025: $401MQ4 2025: $408MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $427MQ3 2026: $439M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$439.3M+9.6%
Q2 2026$427M+6.7%
Q1 2026$393.6M-0.3%
Q4 2025$407.9M+6%
Q3 2025$401M+3.5%
Q2 2025$400.1M+5.2%
Q1 2025$394.9M+7.3%
Q4 2024$384.8M+2.5%

UVE's revenue is growing: $439M last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

UVE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$810,000Q1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: −$102MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: −$810,000Q1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: −$102MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82M+34%
Q2 2026$100.2M-4.8%
Q1 2026$153.2M-17%
Q4 2025$25M+$127.2M
Q3 2025$61.3M-24%
Q2 2025$105.2M+47%
Q1 2025$185.5M+133%
Q4 2024-$102.2M-$101.4M

UVE's free cash flow was $360M over the past year, up 44% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UVE.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over UVE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UVE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+142K shares
1 year+1.3%+377K shares
3 years-1.5%-432K shares
5 years-6.9%-2.2M shares
Available history-15%-5M shares

UVE has 29M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago, despite $26M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

UVE Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -3.2xQ2 2025: -2.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

UVE has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

UVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.3Neutral
Stochastic69.2Neutral

UVE's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

UVE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUVESector medianRelative
PE6.1x13x53% below
PE %106353 pts below

UVE has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

UVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.54.5% above
20 week MA$44.39.5% above
50 week MA$38.526% above
100 week MA$31.753% above
200 week MA$24.698% above

UVE has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

UVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.0$14.8-47%
2021$14.8$16.8+14%
2022$16.8$11.0-35%
2023$11.0$16.0+46%
2024$16.0$20.6+29%
2025$20.6$33.8+64%
2026 YTD$33.8$48.6+44%

UVE has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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