BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TRV

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

63
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

TRV has a slight edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger valuation.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

TRV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

TRV's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TRV.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TRV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$407+0.9%
Current11x$403—
Fair13x$505+25%
Forward13x$403—
Expensive16x$603+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRV has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over TRV on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

TRV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect TRV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TRV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TRV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$462.68
Downside-11%$358.24

Calculated from the latest close: $403.18 on Nov 12.

TRV trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.19 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

TRV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $13.46Q2 2024: $15.82Q3 2024: $19.50Q4 2024: $21.47Q1 2025: $18.37Q2 2025: $22.61Q3 2025: $25.43Q4 2025: $27.43Q1 2026: $33.51Q2 2026: $37.24Q3 2026: $38.04Forward: $30.64
Q4 2023: $12.79Q1 2024: $13.46Q2 2024: $15.82Q3 2024: $19.50Q4 2024: $21.47Q1 2025: $18.37Q2 2025: $22.61Q3 2025: $25.43Q4 2025: $27.43Q1 2026: $33.51Q2 2026: $37.24Q3 2026: $38.04Forward: $30.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.64-19%
Q3 2026$38.04+50%
Q2 2026$37.24+65%
Q1 2026$33.51+82%
Q4 2025$27.43+28%
Q3 2025$25.43+30%
Q2 2025$22.61+43%
Q1 2025$18.37+36%
Q4 2024$21.47+68%

TRV has the edge over BAC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over TRV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10.9BQ1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.9BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.8BQ2 2025: $12.1BQ3 2025: $12.5BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.9BQ2 2026: $12.2BQ3 2026: $12.4B
Q4 2023: $10.9BQ1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.9BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.8BQ2 2025: $12.1BQ3 2025: $12.5BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.9BQ2 2026: $12.2BQ3 2026: $12.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.4B-0.5%
Q2 2026$12.2B+0.3%
Q1 2026$11.9B+1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+3.5%
Q3 2025$12.5B+4.8%
Q2 2025$12.1B+7.4%
Q1 2025$11.8B+5.2%
Q4 2024$12B+9.9%

TRV's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $12.4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

TRV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $3.9B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $4.2BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $3.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9B-8.3%
Q2 2026$1.9B-18%
Q1 2026$2.2B+62%
Q4 2025$2.7B+30%
Q3 2025$4.2B+9.1%
Q2 2025$2.3B+39%
Q1 2025$1.4B-6.7%
Q4 2024$2.1B-1.9%

TRV's free cash flow was $10.7B over the past year, up 6.9% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TRV.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has 7.2B diluted shares, down 5.3% from a year ago, with $25.6B in buybacks over the past year.

TRV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 232MQ2 2024: 232MQ3 2024: 231MQ4 2024: 231MQ1 2025: 230MQ2 2025: 229MQ3 2025: 228MQ4 2025: 228MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 214MQ3 2026: 211M
Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 232MQ2 2024: 232MQ3 2024: 231MQ4 2024: 231MQ1 2025: 230MQ2 2025: 229MQ3 2025: 228MQ4 2025: 228MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 214MQ3 2026: 211M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-3M shares
1 year-7.4%-16.9M shares
3 years-8.9%-20.5M shares
5 years-16%-39.5M shares
Available history-20%-51.7M shares

TRV has the edge over BAC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

TRV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

TRV has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

TRV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.5Overbought
Stochastic73.3Neutral

TRV's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TRV PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTRVSector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %156348 pts below

TRV has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

TRV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$384.34.9% above
20 week MA$374.77.6% above
50 week MA$327.723% above
100 week MA$295.137% above
200 week MA$247.263% above

TRV has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

TRV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$136.8$138.5+1.2%
2021$138.5$154.7+12%
2022$154.7$189.5+23%
2023$189.5$190.5+0.5%
2024$190.5$241.4+27%
2025$241.4$292.1+21%
2026 YTD$292.1$403.2+38%

TRV has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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