BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

STT

State Street Corporation

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

STT has a slight edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

STT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

STT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like STT.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over STT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

STT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$122-30%
Forward12x$174—
Fair13x$153-12%
Current14x$174—
Expensive15x$183+5.6%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAC, with profitability improving.

STT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for STT, with profitability improving.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC trails STT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

STT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$216.07
Downside-9%$158.61

Calculated from the latest close: $173.70 on Nov 12.

STT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BAC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.19 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

STT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.95+22%
Q3 2026$12.24+30%
Q2 2026$11.33+27%
Q1 2026$9.85+11%
Q4 2025$9.40+14%
Q3 2025$9.42+47%
Q2 2025$8.90+65%
Q1 2025$8.88+64%
Q4 2024$8.21+47%

STT has the edge over BAC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over STT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

STT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+13%
Q2 2026$4B+17%
Q1 2026$3.8B+16%
Q4 2025$3.7B+7.4%
Q3 2025$3.5B+6.1%
Q2 2025$3.4B+8.1%
Q1 2025$3.3B+4.7%
Q4 2024$3.4B+12%

STT's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $4B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC has the edge over STT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

STT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B-75%
Q2 2026-$3B+$5.8B
Q1 2026-$12.4B-672%
Q4 2025$9.8B+$17.5B
Q3 2025$7.7B+210%
Q2 2025-$8.8B-$903M
Q1 2025$2.2B+$3.2B
Q4 2024-$7.7B-299%

STT's free cash flow was −$3.7B over the past year, against −$6.6B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like STT.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over STT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-3.1%-8.9M shares
3 years-12%-38M shares
5 years-21%-74.2M shares
Available history-25%-94.4M shares

STT has 279M diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $1.6B in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

STT Net Leverage

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

STT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

STT's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over STT on valuation relative to its sector.

STT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSTTSector medianRelative
PE14x13x9% above
PE %756312 pts above

STT is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

STT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.91.1% above
20 week MA$180.33.6% below
50 week MA$155.212% above
100 week MA$129.035% above
200 week MA$103.268% above

STT has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

STT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.1$71.8-10%
2021$71.8$93.0+30%
2022$93.0$77.5-17%
2023$77.5$77.50%
2024$77.5$98.6+27%
2025$98.6$132.3+34%
2026 YTD$132.3$173.7+31%

STT has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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