BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over SFNC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

SFNC

Simmons First National Corporation

52
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

SFNC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

SFNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SFNC's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SFNC.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over SFNC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SFNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.4x$13.58-42%
Forward10x$23.39—
Fair12x$18.91-19%
Current15x$23.39—
Expensive16x$25.35+8.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SFNC's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over SFNC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SFNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SFNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SFNC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SFNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$28.57
Downside-13%$20.35

Calculated from the latest close: $23.39 on Nov 12.

SFNC trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

SFNC has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 14% for BAC versus SFNC up 58%.

SFNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.27
Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.27+41%
Q2 2025$1.27+6.7%
Q1 2025$1.16-13%
Q4 2024$1.21-12%
Q3 2024$1.02-44%
Q2 2024$1.19-43%
Q1 2024$1.33-28%
Q4 2023$1.38-33%
Q3 2023$1.830%

SFNC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.61 over the past year, against $2.58 in early 2020.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

SFNC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 6.7% for BAC versus up 17% for SFNC.

SFNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $249MQ3 2026: $251M
Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $249MQ3 2026: $251M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$248.6M+16%
Q1 2026$241.4M+15%
Q4 2025$249M+19%
Q2 2025$214.2M+8.6%
Q1 2025$209.6M+7.4%
Q4 2024$208.5M+17%
Q3 2024$174.8M-11%
Q2 2024$197.2M-5.3%

SFNC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $251M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 119% versus its history, compared with SFNC at up 4.5%.

SFNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$125.5M+89%
Q1 2026$34M+50%
Q4 2025$105.7M+46%
Q2 2025$66.3M-8.8%
Q1 2025$22.6M-53%
Q4 2024$72.3M-83%
Q3 2024$187.7M+$234M
Q2 2024$72.7M+40%

SFNC's free cash flow was $324M over the past year, down 7.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SFNC.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over SFNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SFNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 145MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 145M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 145MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 145M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-270K shares
1 year+15%+18.6M shares
3 years+14%+17.7M shares
5 years+33%+36.2M shares
Available history+47%+46.3M shares

SFNC has 145M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

SFNC Net Leverage

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SFNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic57.2Neutral

SFNC's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over SFNC on valuation relative to its sector.

SFNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSFNCSector medianRelative
PE15x13x12% above
PE %796316 pts above

SFNC is trading at 15x earnings, a 12% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

SFNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.01.9% above
20 week MA$23.11.3% above
50 week MA$21.58.8% above
100 week MA$20.713% above
200 week MA$19.918% above

SFNC has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

SFNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.8$21.1-21%
2021$21.1$29.3+39%
2022$29.3$21.5-27%
2023$21.5$19.8-7.7%
2024$19.8$22.4+13%
2025$22.4$19.2-14%
2026 YTD$19.2$23.4+22%

SFNC has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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