BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over RLI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

RLI

RLI Corp.

52
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RLI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

RLI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

RLI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RLI.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over RLI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RLI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x63x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x63x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$51.93-25%
Current16x$69.12—
Fair19x$81.55+18%
Forward25x$69.12—
Expensive31x$134+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RLI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x, in its expensive range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over RLI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

RLI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RLI's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RLI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RLI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.71
Downside-22%$53.64

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

RLI trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over RLI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RLI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.31Q1 2024: $3.62Q2 2024: $3.66Q3 2024: $4.54Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $3.04Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.81Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $4.77Q3 2026: $4.30Forward: $2.73
Q4 2023: $3.31Q1 2024: $3.62Q2 2024: $3.66Q3 2024: $4.54Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $3.04Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.81Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $4.77Q3 2026: $4.30Forward: $2.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.73-36%
Q3 2026$4.30+13%
Q2 2026$4.77+37%
Q1 2026$4.29+41%
Q4 2025$4.37+17%
Q3 2025$3.81-16%
Q2 2025$3.49-4.6%
Q1 2025$3.04-16%
Q4 2024$3.74+13%

RLI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.30 over the past year, against $7.79 in mid-2023.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over RLI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RLI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: $445MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $470MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $408MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $424MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $477M
Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: $445MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $470MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $408MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $424MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $477M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$477M-6.3%
Q2 2026$575.6M+15%
Q1 2026$423.9M+4%
Q4 2025$465.7M+6.1%
Q3 2025$509.3M+8.4%
Q2 2025$499.8M+20%
Q1 2025$407.7M-8.4%
Q4 2024$439.1M+1.3%

RLI's revenue is growing: $477M last quarter, down 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

RLI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $192M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $192M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$192.4M+8.2%
Q2 2026$142.4M-18%
Q1 2026$41.8M-59%
Q4 2025$155M+21%
Q3 2025$177.8M-19%
Q2 2025$173.4M+25%
Q1 2025$102.5M+47%
Q4 2024$127.6M+4.9%

RLI has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over RLI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RLI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+91K shares
1 year-0.1%-59K shares
3 years+0.1%+121K shares
5 years+1%+873K shares
Available history+1.9%+1.7M shares

RLI has 92M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

RLI Net Leverage

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RLI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic82.5Overbought

RLI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over RLI on valuation relative to its sector.

RLI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRLISector medianRelative
PE16x13x23% above
PE %276336 pts below

RLI is trading at 16x earnings, a 23% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

RLI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.012% above
20 week MA$62.211% above
50 week MA$59.616% above
100 week MA$65.55.5% above
200 week MA$68.11.5% above

RLI has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

RLI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.9$51.9+16%
2021$51.9$54.7+5.4%
2022$54.7$66.9+22%
2023$66.9$66.6-0.4%
2024$66.6$83.0+25%
2025$83.0$64.7-22%
2026 YTD$64.7$69.1+6.8%

RLI has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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