BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over PFSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

PFSI

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.

19
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

PFSI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

PFSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

PFSI's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PFSI.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over PFSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PFSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.6x$16.03-74%
Fair8.9x$39.77-35%
Forward9.3x$60.73—
Current14x$60.73—
Expensive18x$80.01+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PFSI's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x, in its fair range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over PFSI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PFSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PFSI's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PFSI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PFSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+7%$65.09
Downside-47%$32.24

Calculated from the latest close: $60.73 on Nov 12.

PFSI trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.19 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

PFSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.74Q1 2024: $2.91Q2 2024: $3.65Q3 2024: $3.18Q4 2024: $5.84Q1 2025: $6.52Q2 2025: $7.21Q3 2025: $9.28Q4 2025: $9.30Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $7.28Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $6.51
Q4 2023: $2.74Q1 2024: $2.91Q2 2024: $3.65Q3 2024: $3.18Q4 2024: $5.84Q1 2025: $6.52Q2 2025: $7.21Q3 2025: $9.28Q4 2025: $9.30Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $7.28Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $6.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.51+46%
Q3 2026$4.45-52%
Q2 2026$7.28+1%
Q1 2026$9.41+44%
Q4 2025$9.30+59%
Q3 2025$9.28+192%
Q2 2025$7.21+98%
Q1 2025$6.52+124%
Q4 2024$5.84+113%

PFSI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.45 over the past year, against $22.34 in early 2021.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

PFSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $306MQ2 2024: $406MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $470MQ1 2025: $431MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $633MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $545MQ2 2026: $497MQ3 2026: $469M
Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $306MQ2 2024: $406MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $470MQ1 2025: $431MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $633MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $545MQ2 2026: $497MQ3 2026: $469M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$468.8M-26%
Q2 2026$497M+12%
Q1 2026$545M+26%
Q4 2025$538M+14%
Q3 2025$632.9M+54%
Q2 2025$444.7M+9.5%
Q1 2025$430.9M+41%
Q4 2024$470.1M+30%

PFSI's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $469M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC has the edge over PFSI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PFSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $430MQ1 2024: −$899MQ2 2024: −$1.1BQ3 2024: −$394MQ4 2024: −$2.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: −$133MQ3 2025: −$699MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $850M
Q4 2023: $430MQ1 2024: −$899MQ2 2024: −$1.1BQ3 2024: −$394MQ4 2024: −$2.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: −$133MQ3 2025: −$699MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $850M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$850.3M+$1.5B
Q2 2026$2.1B+$2.3B
Q1 2026-$1.3B-226%
Q4 2025-$1.9B+$251.6M
Q3 2025-$699.4M-$305.6M
Q2 2025-$132.6M+$960.7M
Q1 2025$1.1B+$2B
Q4 2024-$2.1B-600%

PFSI's free cash flow was −$252M over the past year, against −$1.9B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFSI.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over PFSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PFSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-117K shares
1 year-1.4%-745K shares
3 years+1.1%+573K shares
5 years-19%-12.5M shares
Available history-34%-27.2M shares

PFSI has 53M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago, with $50M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC has the edge over PFSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PFSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 14.7xQ1 2024: 14.8xQ2 2024: 14.2xQ3 2024: 17.5xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.8xQ3 2025: 9.3xQ4 2025: 9.8xQ1 2026: 9.9xQ2 2026: 10.9xQ3 2026: 17.2x
Q4 2023: 14.7xQ1 2024: 14.8xQ2 2024: 14.2xQ3 2024: 17.5xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.8xQ3 2025: 9.3xQ4 2025: 9.8xQ1 2026: 9.9xQ2 2026: 10.9xQ3 2026: 17.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202617.2xHigh
Q2 202610.9xHigh
Q1 20269.9xHigh
Q4 20259.8xHigh
Q3 20259.3xHigh
Q2 202511.8xHigh
Q1 202510.8xHigh
Q4 202411.0xHigh

PFSI's net debt is about 17 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 9.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFSI.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

PFSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.8Neutral
Stochastic22.4Neutral

PFSI's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over PFSI on valuation relative to its sector.

PFSI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPFSISector medianRelative
PE14x13x4.8% above
PE %67634 pts above

PFSI is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has the edge over PFSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PFSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.62.9% below
20 week MA$71.315% below
50 week MA$89.832% below
100 week MA$98.338% below
200 week MA$90.433% below

PFSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has the edge over PFSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PFSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.9$65.3+92%
2021$65.3$70.0+7.2%
2022$70.0$56.8-19%
2023$56.8$88.4+56%
2024$88.4$102.1+16%
2025$102.1$133.9+31%
2026 YTD$133.9$60.7-55%

PFSI is down 55% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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