BAC
Bank of America Corporation
BAC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ONB
Old National Bancorp
ONB has the edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BAC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.
ONB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ONB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ONB.
BAC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.4x | $39.50 | -22% |
| Forward | 10x | $50.51 | — |
| Current | 12x | $50.51 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $53.81 | +6.5% |
| Expensive | 15x | $62.23 | +23% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BAC has the edge over ONB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ONB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9x | $22.15 | -11% |
| Forward | 9.2x | $24.94 | — |
| Current | 10x | $24.94 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $28.68 | +15% |
| Expensive | 14x | $34.10 | +37% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ONB's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings.
BAC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
BAC has the edge over ONB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
ONB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ONB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BAC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.92 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.19 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.34 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.02 | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.81 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.66 | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.41 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.35 | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.21 | +4.2% |
BAC has the edge over ONB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ONB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.45 | +43% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.25 | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.94 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.79 | +6.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.71 | +3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.69 | -0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | -7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.68 | -13% |
ONB earned $2.45 per share over the past year, up 43% from the year before.
BAC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30B | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.6B | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $30.3B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $31.2B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.5B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.4B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.3B | +15% |
BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | -3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +7.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 34% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +14 points |
BAC's operating margin was 30% last quarter, down 3.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ONB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $712.7M | +1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $732.6M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $694.9M | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $690.6M | +41% |
| Q3 2025 | $705.1M | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $647.3M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $481.4M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $489.9M | +5.5% |
ONB has the edge over BAC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 45% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 42% | +4.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | -5.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | -8.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 38% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +1.7 points |
ONB has the edge over BAC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BAC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.5B | -114% |
| Q2 2026 | $29B | +$38.2B |
| Q1 2026 | $41.8B | +$44B |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.9B | -189% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.9B | +$84.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.1B | -150% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.2B | +$13.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $25.9B | -21% |
BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
ONB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $373.2M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $275.9M | +330% |
| Q1 2026 | $193.3M | +89% |
| Q4 2025 | $137.3M | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $333.6M | +188% |
| Q2 2025 | $64.1M | -58% |
| Q1 2025 | $102.4M | +7% |
| Q4 2024 | $229M | +266% |
ONB has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BAC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -72M shares |
| 1 year | -5.3% | -405M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -854M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -1.3B shares |
| Available history | -24% | -2.2B shares |
BAC has the edge over ONB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6B |
| Q2 2026 | $6B |
| Q1 2026 | $7.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $6.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B |
BAC spent $25.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 37% from the year before.
ONB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -2.4M shares |
| 1 year | -2.5% | -9.6M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +89.2M shares |
| 5 years | +130% | +215M shares |
| Available history | +124% | +211M shares |
ONB has 381M diluted shares, down 2.5% from a year ago, with $345M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $115.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $104.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $25.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $25.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $8M |
| Q1 2025 | $13.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $139,000 |
ONB spent $345M buying back its own shares over the past year, about seven times what it spent the year before.
BAC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 7.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.0x | High |
BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
ONB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3x | High |
ONB has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BAC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.9 | Oversold |
BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
ONB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.1 | Neutral |
ONB's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BAC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 7.5% below |
| PE % | 40 | 63 | 23 pts below |
BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ONB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ONB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 22% below |
| PE % | 28 | 63 | 35 pts below |
ONB has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.
BAC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $52.1 | 3% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $54.7 | 7.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $50.5 | 0% below |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 19% above |
BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.
ONB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.0 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $25.7 | 3.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.4 | 2.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.0 | 8.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.8 | 26% above |
ONB has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BAC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.4 | $30.0 | -15% |
| 2021 | $30.0 | $44.4 | +48% |
| 2022 | $44.4 | $32.5 | -27% |
| 2023 | $32.5 | $33.7 | +3.7% |
| 2024 | $33.7 | $44.3 | +32% |
| 2025 | $44.3 | $56.2 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $56.2 | $50.5 | -10% |
BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.
ONB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.3 | $16.6 | -9.3% |
| 2021 | $16.6 | $17.9 | +8.1% |
| 2022 | $17.9 | $17.8 | -0.7% |
| 2023 | $17.8 | $16.9 | -5% |
| 2024 | $16.9 | $21.8 | +29% |
| 2025 | $21.8 | $23.0 | +5.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $23.0 | $24.9 | +8.5% |
ONB has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.