BAC
Bank of America Corporation
BAC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
OBT
Orange County Bancorp, Inc.
OBT has a slight edge over BAC overall on the model score.
BAC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.
OBT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
OBT's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OBT.
BAC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.4x | $39.50 | -22% |
| Forward | 10x | $50.51 | — |
| Current | 12x | $50.51 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $53.81 | +6.5% |
| Expensive | 15x | $62.23 | +23% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
OBT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.9x | $33.19 | -17% |
| Fair | 10x | $37.40 | -6.2% |
| Current | 11x | $39.86 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $39.86 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $43.61 | +9.4% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OBT has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BAC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
BAC has the edge over OBT on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
OBT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OBT, with profitability improving.
BAC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.92 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.19 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.34 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.02 | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.81 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.66 | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.41 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.35 | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.21 | +4.2% |
BAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.19 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.
OBT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.65 | -2.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.74 | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.56 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.41 | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.33 | +35% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.02 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.56 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.42 | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.47 | -5.7% |
OBT earned $3.74 per share over the past year, up 24% from the year before.
BAC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30B | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.6B | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $30.3B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $31.2B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.5B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.4B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.3B | +15% |
BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | -3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +7.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 34% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +14 points |
BAC's operating margin was 30% last quarter, down 3.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OBT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $35.3M | +4.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $27.8M | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | $32.1M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $33M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.7M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.5M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $28M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $27.4M | +5.8% |
OBT's revenue is growing: $35M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +8.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 39% | +24 points |
| Q2 2025 | 42% | +5.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | -5.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | -8.6 points |
OBT has the edge over BAC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BAC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.5B | -114% |
| Q2 2026 | $29B | +$38.2B |
| Q1 2026 | $41.8B | +$44B |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.9B | -189% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.9B | +$84.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.1B | -150% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.2B | +$13.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $25.9B | -21% |
BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
OBT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26.5M | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.3M | +$18M |
| Q1 2026 | $9.7M | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.1M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.6M | +197% |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.7M | -162% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.3M | +117% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.7M | -24% |
OBT has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BAC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -72M shares |
| 1 year | -5.3% | -405M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -854M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -1.3B shares |
| Available history | -24% | -2.2B shares |
BAC has the edge over OBT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6B |
| Q2 2026 | $6B |
| Q1 2026 | $7.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $6.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B |
BAC spent $25.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 37% from the year before.
OBT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +2.2K shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +45.7K shares |
| 3 years | +19% | +2.1M shares |
| 5 years | +27% | +2.9M shares |
OBT has 13M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
BAC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 7.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.0x | High |
BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
OBT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
OBT has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BAC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.9 | Oversold |
BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
OBT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 66.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.7 | Neutral |
OBT's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BAC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 7.5% below |
| PE % | 40 | 63 | 23 pts below |
BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
OBT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | OBT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 18% below |
| PE % | 67 | 63 | 4 pts above |
OBT has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.
BAC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $52.1 | 3% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $54.7 | 7.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $50.5 | 0% below |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 19% above |
BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.
OBT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $38.3 | 4.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $38.2 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $34.9 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $30.2 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $27.1 | 47% above |
OBT has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BAC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.4 | $30.0 | -15% |
| 2021 | $30.0 | $44.4 | +48% |
| 2022 | $44.4 | $32.5 | -27% |
| 2023 | $32.5 | $33.7 | +3.7% |
| 2024 | $33.7 | $44.3 | +32% |
| 2025 | $44.3 | $56.2 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $56.2 | $50.5 | -10% |
BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.
OBT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.7 | $13.6 | -7.3% |
| 2021 | $13.6 | $19.7 | +45% |
| 2022 | $19.7 | $23.3 | +18% |
| 2023 | $23.3 | $30.1 | +29% |
| 2024 | $30.1 | $27.4 | -8.9% |
| 2025 | $27.4 | $28.7 | +4.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.7 | $39.9 | +39% |
OBT has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.