BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over NBHC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

NBHC

National Bank Holdings Corporation

37
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential15/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

NBHC's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

NBHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

NBHC's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NBHC.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over NBHC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NBHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.6x$37.04—
Cheap11x$13.75-63%
Fair13x$16.12-56%
Expensive15x$19.14-48%
Current29x$37.04—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBHC's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.6x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAC, with profitability improving.

NBHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NBHC, with profitability improving.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NBHC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NBHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$39.41
Downside-37%$23.50

Calculated from the latest close: $37.04 on Nov 12.

NBHC trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over NBHC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NBHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.72Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.31Q3 2024: $3.23Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.09Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $3.87
Q4 2023: $3.72Q1 2024: $3.48Q2 2024: $3.31Q3 2024: $3.23Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.09Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.38Q3 2026: $1.26Forward: $3.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.87+207%
Q3 2026$1.26-60%
Q2 2026$2.38-23%
Q1 2026$2.68-7.3%
Q4 2025$2.85-7.5%
Q3 2025$3.15-2.5%
Q2 2025$3.09-6.6%
Q1 2025$2.89-17%
Q4 2024$3.08-17%

NBHC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.26 over the past year, against $3.72 in late 2023.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over NBHC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NBHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $126M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $101MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $109MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $126M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$126.4M+16%
Q2 2026$129.1M+24%
Q1 2026$126.8M+24%
Q4 2025$100.6M-0.6%
Q3 2025$108.9M+2.7%
Q2 2025$104.5M+7%
Q1 2025$102.1M+0.3%
Q4 2024$101.3M-4.1%

NBHC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $126M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

NBHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $66M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: $135MQ3 2026: $66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$66.1M+26%
Q2 2026$135.1M+318%
Q1 2026-$56.8M-243%
Q4 2025$38.1M-18%
Q3 2025$52.4M+12%
Q2 2025$32.3M+1.3%
Q1 2025$39.6M+32%
Q4 2024$46.4M+4%

NBHC has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over NBHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NBHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-157K shares
1 year+18%+6.7M shares
3 years+17%+6.6M shares
5 years+44%+13.7M shares
Available history+42%+13.2M shares

NBHC has 45M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago, despite $41M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

NBHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -2.9xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -1.7xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

NBHC has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

NBHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.0Neutral
Stochastic6.4Oversold

NBHC's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over NBHC on valuation relative to its sector.

NBHC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNBHCSector medianRelative
PE29x13x126% above
PE %1006337 pts above

NBHC is trading at 29x earnings, a 126% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has the edge over NBHC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NBHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.02.6% below
20 week MA$41.09.7% below
50 week MA$41.09.6% below
100 week MA$39.87% below
200 week MA$38.22.9% below

NBHC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 2.9% below its 200-week average.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

NBHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.3$33.1-6.3%
2021$33.1$43.5+32%
2022$43.5$42.1-3.3%
2023$42.1$37.2-12%
2024$37.2$43.2+16%
2025$43.2$38.8-10%
2026 YTD$38.8$37.0-4.6%

NBHC has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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