BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over MAIN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MAIN

Main Street Capital Corporation

46
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

MAIN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

MAIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

MAIN's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MAIN.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MAIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$44.46-21%
Fair12x$56.85+1.1%
Current12x$56.23—
Expensive15x$70.68+26%
Forward15x$56.23—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MAIN has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over MAIN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

MAIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect MAIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MAIN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MAIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$65.34
Downside-14%$48.47

Calculated from the latest close: $56.23 on Nov 12.

MAIN trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over MAIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MAIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.76-21%
Q3 2026$4.78+20%
Q2 2026$4.50+12%
Q1 2026$3.91-3.5%
Q4 2025$3.99-2.4%
Q3 2025$4.00-3.1%
Q2 2025$4.03-2.2%
Q1 2025$4.05-2.9%
Q4 2024$4.09-1.2%

MAIN earned $4.78 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 6.7% for BAC versus down 57% for MAIN.

MAIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$55.5M-57%
Q1 2022$97.5M+20%
Q4 2021$135.5M+32%
Q3 2021$123.7M+22%
Q2 2021$129.7M+129%
Q4 2020$102.8M+183%

MAIN's revenue has held roughly level: $56M last quarter, down 57% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC has the edge over MAIN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MAIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$71.5M-21%
Q2 2026$116.6M+14%
Q1 2026-$138.5M-$118.1M
Q4 2025-$218.5M-251%
Q3 2025$90.6M+25%
Q2 2025$102.5M+$289M
Q1 2025-$20.4M+$97.7M
Q4 2024$145M-5.6%

MAIN's free cash flow was −$169M over the past year, against $318M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over MAIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MAIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+503K shares
1 year+4.6%+4.1M shares
3 years+13%+10.8M shares
5 years+36%+24.7M shares
Available history+47%+30M shares

MAIN has 94M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

MAIN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20226.1xHigh
Q1 20224.8xHigh
Q4 20214.8xHigh
Q3 20214.1xHigh
Q2 20214.2xHigh
Q1 20214.9xHigh
Q4 202071.9xHigh
Q4 20198.0xHigh

MAIN's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MAIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic52.2Neutral

MAIN's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MAIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMAINSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.7% below
PE %466317 pts below

MAIN has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

MAIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.02.3% above
20 week MA$55.61.1% above
50 week MA$56.10.2% above
100 week MA$57.82.7% below
200 week MA$51.39.7% above

MAIN has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

MAIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.4$31.1-28%
2021$31.1$44.0+41%
2022$44.0$36.8-16%
2023$36.8$43.2+18%
2024$43.2$57.9+34%
2025$57.9$60.8+5%
2026 YTD$60.8$56.2-7.5%

MAIN has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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