BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over HGTY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

HGTY

Hagerty, Inc.

44
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

HGTY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

HGTY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

HGTY's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HGTY.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over HGTY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HGTY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$15.80—
Cheap43x$2.60-84%
Fair50x$3.00-81%
Expensive138x$8.26-48%
Current244x$15.80—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HGTY's PE is in its expensive range at 244x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAC, with profitability improving.

HGTY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HGTY to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HGTY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HGTY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+5%$16.63
Downside-59%$6.53

Calculated from the latest close: $15.80 on Nov 12.

HGTY trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over HGTY in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

HGTY Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.53+775%
Q3 2026$0.06-79%
Q2 2026$0.09-57%
Q1 2026$0.20-4.8%

HGTY earned $0.06 per share over the past year, down 79% from the year before.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

HGTY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$354.2M-6.8%
Q2 2026$354.8M-3.8%
Q1 2026$311.8M-2.4%
Q4 2025$357.3M+22%
Q3 2025$380M+18%
Q2 2025$368.7M+18%
Q1 2025$319.6M+18%
Q4 2024$291.7M+19%

HGTY's revenue has held roughly level: $354M last quarter, down 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

HGTY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.4M+1.4%
Q2 2026$161.7M+239%
Q1 2026$8.5M-78%
Q4 2025$23.1M+$39.7M
Q3 2025$85.2M+37%
Q2 2025$47.7M-16%
Q1 2025$38.4M-28%
Q4 2024-$16.7M-$13.3M

HGTY's free cash flow was $280M over the past year, up 81% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HGTY.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over HGTY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HGTY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-3.1M shares
1 year-0.7%-2.3M shares
3 years+1.1%+3.8M shares
5 years+1065%+314M shares

HGTY has 344M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

HGTY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.0xVery low

HGTY has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

HGTY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.8Neutral
Stochastic74.7Neutral

HGTY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over HGTY on valuation relative to its sector.

HGTY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHGTYSector medianRelative
PE244x13x1,776% above
PE %996633 pts above

HGTY is trading at 244x earnings, a 1776% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

HGTY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.23.9% above
20 week MA$13.815% above
50 week MA$12.427% above
100 week MA$11.438% above
200 week MA$10.452% above

HGTY has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

HGTY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.77$13.7+40%
2022$13.7$7.95-42%
2023$7.95$7.80-1.9%
2024$7.80$9.83+26%
2025$9.83$13.8+41%
2026 YTD$13.8$15.8+14%

HGTY has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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