BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over CINF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

54
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CINF trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

CINF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CINF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CINF.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over CINF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CINF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE461x922x1384x1845x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE461x922x1384x1845x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.5x$128-33%
Fair10x$174-8.6%
Current11x$190—
Expensive19x$327+72%
Forward21x$190—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CINF's PE is in its fair range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x, in its expensive range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over CINF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

CINF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CINF's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CINF, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CINF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$206.65
Downside-21%$150.00

Calculated from the latest close: $190.31 on Nov 12.

CINF trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over CINF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CINF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.66Q1 2024: $15.02Q2 2024: $13.62Q3 2024: $19.45Q4 2024: $14.53Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $11.54Q3 2025: $13.45Q4 2025: $15.17Q1 2026: $17.49Q2 2026: $21.20Q3 2026: $17.05Forward: $8.94
Q4 2023: $11.66Q1 2024: $15.02Q2 2024: $13.62Q3 2024: $19.45Q4 2024: $14.53Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $11.54Q3 2025: $13.45Q4 2025: $15.17Q1 2026: $17.49Q2 2026: $21.20Q3 2026: $17.05Forward: $8.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.94-48%
Q3 2026$17.05+27%
Q2 2026$21.20+84%
Q1 2026$17.49+91%
Q4 2025$15.17+4.4%
Q3 2025$13.45-31%
Q2 2025$11.54-15%
Q1 2025$9.18-39%
Q4 2024$14.53+25%

CINF earned $17.05 per share over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

CINF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B-18%
Q2 2026$4.3B+32%
Q1 2026$2.9B+12%
Q4 2025$3.1B+22%
Q3 2025$3.7B+12%
Q2 2025$3.2B+28%
Q1 2025$2.6B-13%
Q4 2024$2.5B-24%

CINF's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

CINF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $569MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $737MQ3 2024: $906MQ4 2024: $638MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $737MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $939MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $698MQ3 2026: $787M
Q4 2023: $569MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $737MQ3 2024: $906MQ4 2024: $638MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $737MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $939MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $698MQ3 2026: $787M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$787M-29%
Q2 2026$698M-5.3%
Q1 2026$654M+113%
Q4 2025$939M+47%
Q3 2025$1.1B+22%
Q2 2025$737M0%
Q1 2025$307M-11%
Q4 2024$638M+12%

CINF's free cash flow was $3.1B over the past year, up 10% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CINF.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over CINF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CINF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 158MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 158MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 156MQ3 2026: 155M
Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 158MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 158MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 156MQ3 2026: 155M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-600K shares
1 year-1.7%-2.7M shares
3 years-1.1%-1.8M shares
5 years-4.8%-7.8M shares
Available history-6.1%-10M shares

CINF has 155M diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago, with $499M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

CINF Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2021-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2021-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2020-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2020-0.1xNet Cash

CINF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CINF.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CINF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.3Neutral
Stochastic79.4Neutral

CINF's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CINF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCINFSector medianRelative
PE11x13x14% below
PE %58635 pts below

CINF has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

CINF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$174.19.3% above
20 week MA$175.38.6% above
50 week MA$168.613% above
100 week MA$158.220% above
200 week MA$137.039% above

CINF has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

CINF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$103.9$85.2-18%
2021$85.2$112.3+32%
2022$112.3$104.5-7%
2023$104.5$103.5-1%
2024$103.5$144.1+39%
2025$144.1$164.8+14%
2026 YTD$164.8$190.3+15%

CINF has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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