BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over CGBD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CGBD

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.

42
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CGBD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

CGBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CGBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CGBD.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over CGBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CGBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.5x$2.84-75%
Forward7.6x$11.18—
Fair10x$5.27-53%
Expensive12x$6.15-45%
Current22x$11.18—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CGBD's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.6x, in its cheap range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over CGBD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CGBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CGBD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CGBD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CGBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$13.01
Downside-14%$9.60

Calculated from the latest close: $11.18 on Nov 12.

CGBD trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over CGBD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CGBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.47+183%
Q3 2026$0.52-55%
Q2 2026$0.50-58%
Q1 2026$0.70-47%
Q4 2025$1.01-36%
Q3 2025$1.16-33%
Q2 2025$1.18-38%
Q1 2025$1.31-21%
Q4 2024$1.58-3.7%

CGBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.52 over the past year, against $2.78 in late 2021.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 6.7% for BAC versus down 70% for CGBD.

CGBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$15.8M-70%
Q1 2022$40.4M-10%
Q4 2021$43.7M-9.4%
Q3 2021$57.5M+32%
Q2 2021$52.5M-23%
Q4 2020$48.2M+15%

CGBD's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $16M last quarter, down 70% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

CGBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: −$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: −$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: −$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: −$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.2M+7.1%
Q2 2026$73.6M+$304.5M
Q1 2026$212.4M+46%
Q4 2025-$153.3M-$42.1M
Q3 2025$33.8M-46%
Q2 2025-$230.9M-423%
Q1 2025$145.8M+80%
Q4 2024-$111.1M-299%

CGBD's free cash flow was $169M over the past year, against −$162M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CGBD.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has 7.2B diluted shares, down 5.3% from a year ago, with $25.6B in buybacks over the past year.

CGBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-727K shares
1 year-5.6%-4.1M shares
3 years+23%+12.8M shares
5 years+16%+9.6M shares
Available history+17%+10M shares

CGBD has the edge over BAC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

CGBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20228.9xHigh
Q1 20226.0xHigh
Q4 20216.3xHigh
Q3 20216.1xHigh
Q2 20216.1xHigh
Q1 20215.5xHigh
Q4 202097.7xHigh
Q4 201917.9xHigh

CGBD's net debt is about 8.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CGBD.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CGBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic50.2Neutral

CGBD's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over CGBD on valuation relative to its sector.

CGBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCGBDSector medianRelative
PE22x13x65% above
PE %906327 pts above

CGBD is trading at 22x earnings, a 65% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

CGBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.83.9% above
20 week MA$10.92.6% above
50 week MA$11.41.5% below
100 week MA$13.115% below
200 week MA$14.422% below

CGBD has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has the edge over CGBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CGBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.2$11.1-22%
2021$11.1$14.0+27%
2022$14.0$14.8+5.2%
2023$14.8$15.0+1.4%
2024$15.0$18.3+22%
2025$18.3$12.6-31%
2026 YTD$12.6$11.2-11%

CGBD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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