BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has a slight edge over CBSH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CBSH

Commerce Bancshares, Inc.

59
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

CBSH has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

CBSH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CBSH's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CBSH.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CBSH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.2x14x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$53.32-4%
Forward13x$55.57—
Current14x$55.57—
Fair16x$62.21+12%
Expensive19x$75.69+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CBSH has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAC, with profitability improving.

CBSH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CBSH, with profitability improving.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CBSH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CBSH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$65.70
Downside-9%$50.35

Calculated from the latest close: $55.57 on Nov 12.

CBSH trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over CBSH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CBSH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.33Q1 2024: $3.29Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $3.53Q4 2024: $3.73Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $4.01Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.04Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $4.00Forward: $4.43
Q4 2023: $3.33Q1 2024: $3.29Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $3.53Q4 2024: $3.73Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $4.01Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.04Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $4.00Forward: $4.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.43+11%
Q3 2026$4.00-1.2%
Q2 2026$3.98-0.7%
Q1 2026$4.02+3.3%
Q4 2025$4.04+8.3%
Q3 2025$4.05+15%
Q2 2025$4.01+18%
Q1 2025$3.89+18%
Q4 2024$3.73+12%

CBSH earned $4.00 per share over the past year, down 1.2% from the year before.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over CBSH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CBSH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $398MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $422MQ1 2025: $428MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $499MQ3 2026: $494M
Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $398MQ2 2024: $414MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $422MQ1 2025: $428MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $441MQ4 2025: $449MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $499MQ3 2026: $494M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$494.3M+12%
Q2 2026$498.9M+12%
Q1 2026$475.7M+11%
Q4 2025$449.4M+6.5%
Q3 2025$441M+4.6%
Q2 2025$445.8M+7.5%
Q1 2025$428.1M+7.6%
Q4 2024$422.1M+7.3%

CBSH's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $494M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

CBSH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: −$151MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $678MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $181M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $419MQ4 2024: −$151MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $253MQ1 2026: $678MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $181M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$181M+60%
Q2 2026$169.1M+68%
Q1 2026$678.4M+438%
Q4 2025$252.6M+$403.3M
Q3 2025$113.3M-73%
Q2 2025$100.5M-28%
Q1 2025$126M+1.2%
Q4 2024-$150.7M-243%

CBSH has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over CBSH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CBSH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.9M shares
1 year+6.9%+9.1M shares
3 years+3.3%+4.5M shares
5 years+0.2%+350K shares
Available history-1%-1.5M shares

CBSH has 142M diluted shares, up 6.9% from a year ago, despite $422M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

CBSH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

CBSH has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CBSH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic24.3Neutral

CBSH's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over CBSH on valuation relative to its sector.

CBSH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCBSHSector medianRelative
PE14x13x6.7% above
PE %226341 pts below

CBSH is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

CBSH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.40.2% above
20 week MA$57.43.1% below
50 week MA$54.32.3% above
100 week MA$56.21.1% below
200 week MA$52.95.1% above

CBSH has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

CBSH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.9$52.0+2.2%
2021$52.0$56.0+7.7%
2022$56.0$57.7+3%
2023$57.7$48.4-16%
2024$48.4$59.8+24%
2025$59.8$53.0-11%
2026 YTD$53.0$55.6+4.9%

CBSH has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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