BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over BCSF overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BCSF

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.

27
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BCSF trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

BCSF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BCSF's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BCSF.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over BCSF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BCSF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$7.02-37%
Forward8.1x$11.06—
Fair8.5x$8.15-26%
Expensive10x$9.56-14%
Current12x$11.06—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BCSF's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.1x, in its cheap range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over BCSF on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

BCSF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BCSF's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BCSF, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BCSF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$12.73
Downside-14%$9.56

Calculated from the latest close: $11.06 on Nov 12.

BCSF trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over BCSF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BCSF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $1.85Q1 2025: $1.74Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $0.99Q3 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.37
Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.00Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $1.85Q1 2025: $1.74Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.44Q4 2025: $1.53Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $0.99Q3 2026: $0.96Forward: $1.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.37+43%
Q3 2026$0.96-33%
Q2 2026$0.99-40%
Q1 2026$1.14-34%
Q4 2025$1.53-17%
Q3 2025$1.44-28%
Q2 2025$1.66-17%
Q1 2025$1.74-13%
Q4 2024$1.85-2.6%

BCSF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.96 over the past year, against $2.56 in mid-2021.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 6.7% for BAC versus down 40% for BCSF.

BCSF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$30.4M-40%
Q1 2022$46.3M+5.3%
Q4 2021$40.7M-22%
Q3 2021$40.4M-41%
Q2 2021$50.3M+23%
Q4 2020$52.5M+27%

BCSF's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $30M last quarter, down 40% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

BCSF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: −$64MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: −$136MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $646,000Q3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $290MQ1 2024: −$64MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: −$136MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $646,000Q3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$137.9M+1433%
Q2 2026$70.8M+10858%
Q1 2026$26.6M+$33.9M
Q4 2025$27.2M+$47.1M
Q3 2025$9M+$144.8M
Q2 2025$646K-100%
Q1 2025-$7.3M+$56.4M
Q4 2024-$20M-107%

BCSF has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over BCSF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BCSF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+0.5%+306K shares
5 years+0.5%+306K shares
Available history+26%+13.2M shares

BCSF has 65M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

BCSF Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202212.4xHigh
Q1 20228.3xHigh
Q4 202110.8xHigh
Q3 20219.6xHigh
Q2 20217.7xHigh
Q1 20219.0xHigh
Q4 2020165.0xHigh
Q4 201910.6xHigh

BCSF's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCSF.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BCSF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic31.3Neutral

BCSF's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BCSF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBCSFSector medianRelative
PE12x13x12% below
PE %936330 pts above

BCSF has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

BCSF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.82.8% above
20 week MA$11.75.1% below
50 week MA$12.612% below
100 week MA$14.222% below
200 week MA$14.725% below

BCSF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 25% below its 200-week average.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has the edge over BCSF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BCSF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.2$12.4-38%
2021$12.4$15.6+25%
2022$15.6$12.5-19%
2023$12.5$15.1+20%
2024$15.1$17.7+17%
2025$17.7$13.9-21%
2026 YTD$13.9$11.1-21%

BCSF has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

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