BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
SAH
Sonic Automotive, Inc.
SAH has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SAH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
SAH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over SAH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SAH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.7x | $35.57 | -41% |
| Forward | 9.1x | $60.18 | — |
| Current | 9.6x | $60.18 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $66.57 | +11% |
| Expensive | 18x | $110 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SAH's PE is in its fair range at 9.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over SAH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
SAH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SAH's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
SAH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.62 | +6% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.25 | +69% |
SAH has the edge over BABA in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over SAH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over SAH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SAH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4B | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.9B | +7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.7B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.9B | -0.6% |
SAH's revenue has held roughly level: $4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.4% | +4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | N/A |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6% | N/A |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | N/A |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4% | N/A |
SAH's operating margin was 3.4% last quarter, up 4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
SAH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$217.8M | -312% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5M | -101% |
| Q4 2025 | $329.4M | -22% |
SAH and BABA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
SAH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -5.6% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -5.9% | -2M shares |
SAH has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $135.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $126.5M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $8.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $35.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $61.5M |
SAH spent $269M buying back its own shares over the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over SAH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SAH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
SAH's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
SAH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.4 | Oversold |
SAH's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
SAH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SAH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.6x | 18x | 47% below |
| PE % | 36 | 47 | 11 pts below |
SAH has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
SAH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $62.3 | 3.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $75.5 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $71.5 | 16% below |
| 100 week MA | $70.8 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $62.2 | 3.3% below |
SAH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 3.3% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
SAH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.6 | $38.2 | +25% |
| 2021 | $38.2 | $48.3 | +27% |
| 2022 | $48.3 | $47.5 | -1.8% |
| 2023 | $47.5 | $56.2 | +18% |
| 2024 | $56.2 | $63.6 | +13% |
| 2025 | $63.6 | $64.3 | +1.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $64.3 | $60.2 | -6.4% |
SAH has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.