BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over PZZA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
PZZA
Papa John's International, Inc.
PZZA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
PZZA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
PZZA's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
PZZA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $15.78 | -18% |
| Current | 25x | $19.16 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $25.26 | +32% |
| Expensive | 100x | $75.77 | +295% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PZZA has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PZZA Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for PZZA to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over PZZA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PZZA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.76 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.80 | -65% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.84 | -65% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.90 | -65% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.14 | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.28 | +8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.37 | +4.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +2.4% |
PZZA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.76 over the past year, against $2.89 in late 2024.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over PZZA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over PZZA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PZZA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $454.8M | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $482.4M | -8.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $478.6M | -7.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $498.2M | -6.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $508.2M | +0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $529.2M | +4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $518.3M | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $530.8M | -7.1% |
PZZA's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $455M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.1% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.9% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2% | -9.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.6% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.6% | -1.9 points |
PZZA's operating margin was 3.1% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
PZZA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.7M | -57% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.7M | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.2M | -133% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1M | -92% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.7M | +$26.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $17.4M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.1M | +$20.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $25.2M | -38% |
PZZA has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
PZZA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +86K shares |
| 3 years | +1% | +329K shares |
| 5 years | -9.8% | -3.6M shares |
| Available history | +4.7% | +1.5M shares |
PZZA has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | $2.1M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $708,000 |
| Q1 2023 | $209.6M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over PZZA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PZZA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
PZZA's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
PZZA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.3 | Oversold |
PZZA's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over PZZA on valuation relative to its sector.
PZZA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PZZA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 40% above |
| PE % | 29 | 47 | 18 pts below |
PZZA is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
PZZA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $19.2 | 0.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $23.8 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $30.8 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $37.2 | 48% below |
| 200 week MA | $51.4 | 63% below |
PZZA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 63% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over PZZA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PZZA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.5 | $87.5 | +36% |
| 2021 | $87.5 | $132.6 | +51% |
| 2022 | $132.6 | $84.0 | -37% |
| 2023 | $84.0 | $76.2 | -9.2% |
| 2024 | $76.2 | $39.5 | -48% |
| 2025 | $39.5 | $39.3 | -0.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $39.3 | $19.2 | -51% |
PZZA has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 51% so far in 2026.