BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over PATK overall, supported by stronger valuation.
PATK
Patrick Industries, Inc.
PATK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
PATK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
PATK's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over PATK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PATK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $25.09 | -68% |
| Fair | 16x | $61.65 | -22% |
| Forward | 17x | $78.59 | — |
| Current | 20x | $78.59 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $85.00 | +8.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PATK's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over PATK on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
PATK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PATK, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over PATK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PATK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.70 | +22% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.84 | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.21 | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.89 | -6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.90 | -5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.49 | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.68 | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.16 | -7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.11 | -5.1% |
PATK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.84 over the past year, against $9.60 in mid-2022.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over PATK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over PATK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PATK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $975.3M | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | -0.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $997.2M | -0.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $924.2M | +9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $975.6M | +6.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | +7.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $846.1M | +8.3% |
PATK's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $975M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.1% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.4% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.2% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.8% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.3% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.5% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.7% | -2.7 points |
PATK's operating margin was 5.1% last quarter, down 1.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
PATK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $58.4M | +$75.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $65.3M | -50% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.9M | -265% |
| Q4 2025 | $112.7M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | -$17.2M | -151% |
| Q2 2025 | $131.1M | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.9M | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $77.2M | -25% |
PATK has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
PATK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.9% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -6.9% | -2.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.5% | -171K shares |
| 5 years | -7% | -2.4M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -2.3M shares |
PATK has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $91.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $23.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $8.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M |
PATK spent $106M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 190% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over PATK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PATK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
PATK's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
PATK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 58.7 | Neutral |
PATK's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
PATK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PATK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 18x | 14% above |
| PE % | 74 | 47 | 27 pts above |
PATK has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
PATK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $71.4 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $78.0 | 0.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $97.1 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $95.8 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.6 | 2.5% below |
PATK has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
PATK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.0 | $46.9 | +34% |
| 2021 | $46.9 | $52.6 | +12% |
| 2022 | $52.6 | $40.8 | -23% |
| 2023 | $40.8 | $66.9 | +64% |
| 2024 | $66.9 | $83.5 | +25% |
| 2025 | $83.5 | $112.1 | +34% |
| 2026 YTD | $112.1 | $78.6 | -30% |
PATK has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.