BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over MTN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
MTN
Vail Resorts, Inc.
MTN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MTN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
MTN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
MTN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $87.81 | -42% |
| Forward | 27x | $151 | — |
| Fair | 31x | $128 | -16% |
| Current | 37x | $151 | — |
| Expensive | 79x | $325 | +115% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MTN has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MTN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MTN, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
MTN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.63 | +37% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.12 | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.52 | -42% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.25 | -8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.94 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.53 | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.86 | +4.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.86 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.06 | +9.4% |
MTN has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over MTN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over MTN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MTN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $278.1M | +2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | -7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $271M | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $271.3M | +2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +5.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $260.3M | +0.7% |
MTN's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $278M last quarter, up 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -75% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 41% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | -77% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -75% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 34% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -78% | +2.5 points |
MTN's operating margin was −75% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MTN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$153M | +$74.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$28.2M | -133% |
| Q1 2026 | $185M | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $244.3M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | -$227.5M | -$77.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $84.5M | -0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $251.2M | +52% |
| Q4 2024 | $211.4M | -23% |
MTN has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MTN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +106K shares |
| 1 year | -3.8% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -4M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -5M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -4.5M shares |
MTN has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $45M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $200M |
| Q2 2025 | $30M |
| Q1 2025 | $20M |
| Q4 2024 | $20M |
MTN spent $45M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 83% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over MTN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MTN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
MTN's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MTN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.5 | Neutral |
MTN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over MTN on valuation relative to its sector.
MTN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MTN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37x | 18x | 104% above |
| PE % | 69 | 47 | 22 pts above |
MTN is trading at 37x earnings, a 104% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MTN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $147.8 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $146.2 | 3.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $139.7 | 8.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $148.0 | 2.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $181.3 | 17% below |
MTN has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
MTN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $242.3 | $275.2 | +14% |
| 2021 | $275.2 | $332.2 | +21% |
| 2022 | $332.2 | $241.1 | -27% |
| 2023 | $241.1 | $213.5 | -11% |
| 2024 | $213.5 | $190.5 | -11% |
| 2025 | $190.5 | $140.3 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $140.3 | $151.2 | +7.8% |
MTN has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.