BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MOV
Movado Group, Inc.
MOV has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MOV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
MOV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over MOV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MOV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $13.34 | -58% |
| Fair | 12x | $20.84 | -35% |
| Forward | 15x | $31.95 | — |
| Current | 18x | $31.95 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $37.20 | +16% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MOV's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MOV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MOV, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over MOV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MOV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.17 | +20% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.81 | +135% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.41 | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.17 | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.97 | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.77 | -52% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.80 | -55% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.87 | -58% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.04 | -59% |
MOV's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.81 over the past year, against $4.49 in mid-2022.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over MOV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MOV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $169.8M | +4.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $142.4M | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $191.6M | +5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $186.1M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $161.8M | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $131.8M | -3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $181.5M | +1% |
| Q4 2024 | $182.7M | -2.6% |
MOV's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $170M last quarter, up 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.8% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9% | +4.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.3% | +2.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.5% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1% | -2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6% | -7.4 points |
MOV has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
MOV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.6M | +$3.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $5.8M | +$14.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $55.7M | +48% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.6M | +$18.8M |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.1M | +$15M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.7M | +$11M |
| Q1 2025 | $37.5M | -45% |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.2M | -$3.3M |
MOV has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over MOV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
MOV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +259K shares |
| 1 year | +2.3% | +514K shares |
| 3 years | +2.1% | +469K shares |
| 5 years | -2.8% | -654K shares |
| Available history | -0.7% | -165K shares |
MOV has 23M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $1.1M |
MOV spent $4M buying back its own shares over the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MOV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -6.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.1x | Net Cash |
MOV has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
MOV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
MOV's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
MOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MOV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 2.1% below |
| PE % | 72 | 47 | 25 pts above |
MOV has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
MOV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.2 | 0.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.5 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $29.8 | 7.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.7 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $25.1 | 27% above |
MOV has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
MOV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.5 | $17.4 | -19% |
| 2021 | $17.4 | $40.5 | +133% |
| 2022 | $40.5 | $30.7 | -24% |
| 2023 | $30.7 | $30.2 | -1.8% |
| 2024 | $30.2 | $19.9 | -34% |
| 2025 | $19.9 | $20.9 | +5.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $32.0 | +53% |
MOV has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.