BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over MHO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MHO

M/I Homes, Inc.

28
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential23/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

MHO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MHO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

MHO's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over MHO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MHO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.3x6.7x10x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.3x6.7x10x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.7x$38.94-69%
Fair6.6x$69.33-45%
Expensive8.6x$90.94-28%
Current12x$127—
Forward12x$127—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MHO's PE is in its expensive range at 12.0x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 12.4x next year's earnings.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over MHO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

MHO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MHO's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MHO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MHO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$145.39
Downside-49%$64.25

Calculated from the latest close: $126.65 on Nov 12.

MHO trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over MHO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MHO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.21Q1 2024: $17.35Q2 2024: $18.35Q3 2024: $18.63Q4 2024: $19.71Q1 2025: $18.91Q2 2025: $18.21Q3 2025: $17.03Q4 2025: $14.74Q1 2026: $13.31Q2 2026: $11.91Q3 2026: $10.55Forward: $10.19
Q4 2023: $16.21Q1 2024: $17.35Q2 2024: $18.35Q3 2024: $18.63Q4 2024: $19.71Q1 2025: $18.91Q2 2025: $18.21Q3 2025: $17.03Q4 2025: $14.74Q1 2026: $13.31Q2 2026: $11.91Q3 2026: $10.55Forward: $10.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.19-3.4%
Q3 2026$10.55-38%
Q2 2026$11.91-35%
Q1 2026$13.31-30%
Q4 2025$14.74-25%
Q3 2025$17.03-8.6%
Q2 2025$18.21-0.8%
Q1 2025$18.91+9%
Q4 2024$19.71+22%

MHO's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $10.55 over the past year, against $19.71 in late 2024.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over MHO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MHO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $973MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $976MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $973MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $976MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-4.9%
Q2 2026$1.1B-8.5%
Q1 2026$920.7M-5.7%
Q4 2025$1.1B-4.8%
Q3 2025$1.1B-1%
Q2 2025$1.2B+4.8%
Q1 2025$976.1M-6.7%
Q4 2024$1.2B+24%

MHO's revenue is shrinking: $1.1B last quarter, down 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

MHO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: −$69MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$17M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $115MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: −$69MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: $64MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$13MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$17M-140%
Q2 2026$31.4M-11%
Q1 2026$135.6M+113%
Q4 2025-$13M-113%
Q3 2025$42M+$110.5M
Q2 2025$35.1M+60%
Q1 2025$63.5M-45%
Q4 2024$102.3M+90%

MHO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

MHO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-244K shares
1 year-4.6%-1.2M shares
3 years-10%-2.9M shares
5 years-14%-4.1M shares
Available history-11%-3.1M shares

MHO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MHO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

MHO has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MHO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.3Neutral
Stochastic35.3Neutral

MHO's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

MHO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMHOSector medianRelative
PE12x18x33% below
PE %984751 pts above

MHO has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

MHO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$129.52.2% below
20 week MA$141.010% below
50 week MA$136.87.4% below
100 week MA$130.73.1% below
200 week MA$121.04.7% above

MHO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

MHO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.8$47.8+20%
2021$47.8$60.8+27%
2022$60.8$46.9-23%
2023$46.9$137.7+194%
2024$137.7$134.0-2.7%
2025$134.0$129.0-3.7%
2026 YTD$129.0$126.7-1.8%

MHO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key