BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over MED overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MED

Medifast, Inc.

47
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

MED's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MED Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MED's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MED PE Valuation

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over MED on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MED Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MED's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MED, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MED Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$17.46
Downside-26%$9.47

Calculated from the latest close: $12.86 on Nov 12.

MED trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over MED on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MED Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
Q4 2023: $9.10Q1 2024: $6.19Q2 2024: $2.67Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $-0.64Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.82Q2 2026: $-2.32Q3 2026: $-3.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.68-18500%
Q2 2026-$2.32-803%
Q1 2026-$1.82-$1.18
Q4 2025-$1.70-995%
Q3 2025$0.02-97%
Q2 2025$0.33-88%
Q1 2025-$0.64-110%
Q4 2024$0.19-98%

MED has swung to a loss: it lost $3.68 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over MED on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MED Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
Q4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $140MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$72M-19%
Q2 2026$76.4M-28%
Q1 2026$76M-34%
Q4 2025$75.1M-37%
Q3 2025$89.4M-36%
Q2 2025$105.6M-37%
Q1 2025$115.7M-34%
Q4 2024$119M-38%

MED's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $72M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

MED Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$836,000Q2 2026: $728,000Q3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M-73%
Q2 2026$728K+$5.5M
Q1 2026-$836K-144%
Q4 2025-$6.6M+$603K
Q3 2025$10.8M+40%
Q2 2025-$4.8M-143%
Q1 2025$1.9M-65%
Q4 2024-$7.2M-176%

MED has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over MED on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MED Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+46K shares
1 year+1.7%+190K shares
3 years+2.3%+248K shares
5 years-5.1%-604K shares
Available history-7.7%-936K shares

MED has 11M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MED Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -14.3xQ2 2025: -7.2xQ3 2025: -12.1xQ4 2025: -2,976.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-2,976.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-12.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-14.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-1.0xNet Cash

MED has more cash than debt.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MED Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

MED's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

MED PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMEDSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

MED has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

MED Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.16% above
20 week MA$11.710% above
50 week MA$11.413% above
100 week MA$12.61.9% above
200 week MA$35.464% below

MED has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

MED Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.3$196.7+82%
2021$196.7$204.2+3.8%
2022$204.2$117.1-43%
2023$117.1$67.2-43%
2024$67.2$17.6-74%
2025$17.6$11.0-37%
2026 YTD$11.0$12.9+16%

MED has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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