BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over LGIH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LGIH
LGI Homes, Inc.
LGIH offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LGIH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LGIH's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over LGIH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LGIH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $20.61 | -50% |
| Fair | 11x | $33.17 | -19% |
| Expensive | 14x | $42.66 | +3.7% |
| Current | 14x | $41.12 | — |
| Forward | 15x | $41.12 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LGIH's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over LGIH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
LGIH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LGIH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over LGIH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LGIH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.67 | -12% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.04 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.84 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.04 | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.12 | -62% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.53 | -46% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.63 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.75 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.30 | -1.4% |
LGIH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.04 over the past year, against $18.05 in late 2021.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over LGIH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LGIH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $444.5M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $516M | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.7M | -9% |
| Q4 2025 | $474M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $396.6M | -39% |
| Q2 2025 | $483.5M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $351.4M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $557.4M | -8.4% |
LGIH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $444M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.5% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.9% | -4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4% | -6.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | -3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -1.7 points |
LGIH has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
LGIH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | +$51.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $113.7M | +$200.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$56.2M | +$71.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $86.8M | +54% |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.3M | +$4.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$86.4M | -$2.7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$128M | -$27.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.4M | +$90.7M |
LGIH has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over LGIH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
LGIH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +187K shares |
| 1 year | +1.4% | +317K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -175K shares |
| 5 years | -5.5% | -1.4M shares |
| Available history | -7.7% | -2M shares |
LGIH has 23M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $20.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $13M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $8M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LGIH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 19.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 6.6x | High |
LGIH has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
LGIH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.0 | Oversold |
LGIH's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
LGIH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LGIH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 25% below |
| PE % | 80 | 47 | 33 pts above |
LGIH has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
LGIH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.8 | 8.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $52.1 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $49.7 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.1 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $83.9 | 51% below |
LGIH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
LGIH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $70.5 | $112.7 | +60% |
| 2021 | $112.7 | $152.2 | +35% |
| 2022 | $152.2 | $94.8 | -38% |
| 2023 | $94.8 | $133.2 | +40% |
| 2024 | $133.2 | $89.6 | -33% |
| 2025 | $89.6 | $43.2 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.2 | $41.1 | -4.8% |
LGIH has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.