BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
LAD
Lithia Motors, Inc.
LAD has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LAD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
LAD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
LAD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $238 | -20% |
| Forward | 7.7x | $297 | — |
| Current | 8.5x | $297 | — |
| Fair | 9.4x | $327 | +10% |
| Expensive | 13x | $462 | +55% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LAD has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over LAD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
LAD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect LAD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over LAD on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
LAD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $38.68 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $34.94 | +1.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.33 | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.66 | -9.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.32 | +9% |
| Q3 2025 | $34.51 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.70 | +8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.70 | -6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.65 | -18% |
LAD earned $34.94 per share over the past year, up 1.2% from the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over LAD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over LAD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LAD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.9B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.8B | +2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.3B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.2B | +0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.6B | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.2B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.2B | +20% |
LAD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $9.9B last quarter, up 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.6% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.4% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.5% | -0.3 points |
LAD's operating margin was 4.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
LAD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$129.7M | +$77.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$122M | -$51.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$205.5M | -181% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.5M | +$48.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$207.3M | -232% |
| Q2 2025 | -$70.8M | +$207.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $253.4M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.7M | +$344M |
LAD has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
LAD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -500K shares |
| 1 year | -13% | -3.2M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -5.6M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -8.5M shares |
| Available history | -6% | -1.4M shares |
LAD has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $90.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $237M |
| Q1 2026 | $297M |
| Q4 2025 | $298.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $399M |
| Q2 2025 | $119.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $143.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $92.7M |
LAD spent $923M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 22% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LAD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
LAD has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
LAD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.7 | Neutral |
LAD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
LAD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LAD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.5x | 18x | 53% below |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
LAD has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
LAD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $301.4 | 1.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $332.4 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $311.4 | 4.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $317.0 | 6.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $299.4 | 0.7% below |
LAD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.7% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
LAD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.5 | $290.0 | +95% |
| 2021 | $290.0 | $289.0 | -0.3% |
| 2022 | $289.0 | $201.9 | -30% |
| 2023 | $201.9 | $329.3 | +63% |
| 2024 | $329.3 | $361.0 | +9.6% |
| 2025 | $361.0 | $344.4 | -4.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $344.4 | $297.2 | -14% |
LAD has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.