BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GTX
Garrett Motion Inc.
GTX has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
GTX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
GTX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over GTX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GTX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 2.2x | $4.29 | -80% |
| Fair | 8.1x | $15.86 | -26% |
| Expensive | 11x | $21.61 | +0.5% |
| Current | 11x | $21.50 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $21.50 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GTX's PE is in its expensive range at 11.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10.6x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over GTX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
GTX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GTX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
GTX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.04 | +4.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.95 | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.82 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.71 | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.52 | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.57 | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.43 | +42% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.29 | +$2.44 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.27 | +$2.57 |
GTX has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over GTX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GTX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $930M | +3.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $976M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $985M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $891M | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $902M | +9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $913M | +2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $878M | -4% |
| Q4 2024 | $844M | -11% |
GTX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $930M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +4.5 points |
GTX has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
GTX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $120M | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $128M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $69M | +130% |
| Q4 2025 | $78M | -28% |
| Q3 2025 | $90M | +91% |
| Q2 2025 | $143M | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $30M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $109M | 0% |
GTX has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
GTX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.5M shares |
| 1 year | -6.5% | -13.1M shares |
| 3 years | +76% | +81.6M shares |
| 5 years | +149% | +113M shares |
| Available history | +149% | +113M shares |
GTX has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $57M |
| Q2 2026 | $28M |
| Q1 2026 | $87M |
| Q4 2025 | $72M |
| Q3 2025 | $84M |
| Q2 2025 | $22M |
| Q1 2025 | $30M |
| Q4 2024 | $70M |
GTX spent $244M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over GTX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GTX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
GTX's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
GTX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.0 | Oversold |
GTX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
GTX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GTX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 39% below |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
GTX has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
GTX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $23.5 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $27.0 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.3 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.9 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $13.1 | 64% above |
GTX has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
GTX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.2 | $5.25 | -49% |
| 2021 | $5.25 | $7.50 | +43% |
| 2022 | $7.50 | $7.85 | +4.7% |
| 2023 | $7.85 | $9.67 | +23% |
| 2024 | $9.67 | $8.96 | -7.3% |
| 2025 | $8.96 | $17.4 | +95% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.4 | $21.5 | +23% |
GTX has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.