BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over GPC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
GPC
Genuine Parts Company
GPC offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
GPC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
GPC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over GPC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GPC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $123 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $4.20 | -97% |
| Fair | 20x | $5.27 | -96% |
| Expensive | 25x | $6.41 | -95% |
| Current | 472x | $123 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GPC's PE is in its expensive range at 472x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its cheap range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over GPC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
GPC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GPC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over GPC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GPC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.93 | +2951% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.26 | -96% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.26 | -96% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.44 | -93% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.47 | -93% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.81 | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.81 | -33% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.09 | -32% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.47 | -31% |
GPC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.26 over the past year, against $9.33 in late 2023.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over GPC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over GPC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GPC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.5B | +4.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.5B | +6% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.3B | +6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $6B | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.3B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.2B | +3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.9B | +1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.8B | +3.3% |
GPC's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $6.5B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.3% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.5% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -14% | -17 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5% | -1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -4.6 points |
GPC's operating margin was 4.3% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
GPC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $243.4M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $292.4M | +261% |
| Q1 2026 | -$33.6M | +$127M |
| Q4 2025 | $260.7M | +$287.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $240M | -33% |
| Q2 2025 | $81M | -46% |
| Q1 2025 | -$160.7M | -179% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.7M | -114% |
GPC has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
GPC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +354K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -1.1M shares |
| 3 years | -1.8% | -2.6M shares |
| 5 years | -3.7% | -5.3M shares |
| Available history | -5.5% | -8.1M shares |
GPC has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $37.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $37.5M |
| Q2 2024 | $37.5M |
| Q1 2024 | $37.5M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over GPC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GPC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 9.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
GPC's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.4 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
GPC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.2 | Oversold |
GPC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over GPC on valuation relative to its sector.
GPC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GPC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 472x | 18x | 2,522% above |
| PE % | 96 | 47 | 49 pts above |
GPC is trading at 472x earnings, a 2522% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
GPC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $125.9 | 2.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $129.1 | 4.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $121.5 | 1.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $123.5 | 0.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $135.7 | 9.5% below |
GPC has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
GPC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $106.2 | $99.4 | -6.5% |
| 2021 | $99.4 | $135.4 | +36% |
| 2022 | $135.4 | $176.6 | +30% |
| 2023 | $176.6 | $138.5 | -22% |
| 2024 | $138.5 | $117.0 | -16% |
| 2025 | $117.0 | $125.9 | +7.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $125.9 | $122.8 | -2.4% |
GPC has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.