BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

FTDR

Frontdoor, Inc.

58
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

FTDR has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

FTDR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

FTDR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

FTDR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$64.94-32%
Forward19x$95.42—
Fair20x$81.26-15%
Current24x$95.42—
Expensive31x$123+29%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FTDR has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FTDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FTDR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FTDR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FTDR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$116.01
Downside-22%$74.59

Calculated from the latest close: $95.42 on Nov 12.

FTDR trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

FTDR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.15+28%
Q3 2026$4.01+15%
Q2 2026$3.78+12%
Q1 2026$3.50+14%
Q4 2025$3.42+14%
Q3 2025$3.49+16%
Q2 2025$3.37+29%
Q1 2025$3.07+35%
Q4 2024$3.01+42%

FTDR has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

FTDR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$655M+6%
Q2 2026$645M+4.5%
Q1 2026$451M+5.9%
Q4 2025$433M+13%
Q3 2025$618M+14%
Q2 2025$617M+14%
Q1 2025$426M+13%
Q4 2024$382M+4.4%

FTDR has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

FTDR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$65M+12%
Q2 2026$120M0%
Q1 2026$113M-3.4%
Q4 2025$95M+90%
Q3 2025$58M+263%
Q2 2025$120M+32%
Q1 2025$117M+58%
Q4 2024$50M-7.4%

FTDR has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

FTDR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-800K shares
1 year-5.5%-4.1M shares
3 years-13%-10.3M shares
5 years-18%-15.6M shares
Available history-17%-14.6M shares

FTDR has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over FTDR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FTDR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

FTDR's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

FTDR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic77.8Neutral

FTDR's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over FTDR on valuation relative to its sector.

FTDR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFTDRSector medianRelative
PE24x18x32% above
PE %614714 pts above

FTDR is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

FTDR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.313% above
20 week MA$81.617% above
50 week MA$69.338% above
100 week MA$62.353% above
200 week MA$49.095% above

FTDR has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

FTDR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.3$50.6+7%
2021$50.6$35.6-30%
2022$35.6$19.6-45%
2023$19.6$35.2+80%
2024$35.2$55.7+58%
2025$55.7$58.6+5.3%
2026 YTD$58.6$95.4+63%

FTDR has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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