BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
EXPE has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
EXPE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
EXPE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
EXPE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $261 | — |
| Current | 15x | $261 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $330 | +26% |
| Fair | 25x | $428 | +64% |
| Expensive | 41x | $701 | +169% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EXPE has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EXPE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXPE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
EXPE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.30 | +42% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.09 | +65% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.00 | +99% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.32 | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.81 | +9.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.35 | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.06 | +46% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.38 | +59% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.95 | +69% |
EXPE has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EXPE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.3B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.4B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.5B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.4B | +8.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.8B | +6.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $3B | +3.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.2B | +10% |
EXPE has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.3% | +9.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +5.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.3% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8% | +3.2 points |
EXPE has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
EXPE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.4B | -$713M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.7B | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $119M | +1600% |
| Q3 2025 | -$686M | +$1B |
| Q2 2025 | $921M | -30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.8B | +2% |
| Q4 2024 | $7M | +$422M |
EXPE has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
EXPE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -272K shares |
| 1 year | -6.7% | -8.7M shares |
| 3 years | -17% | -25.5M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -38.2M shares |
| Available history | -18% | -27.6M shares |
EXPE has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $669M |
| Q2 2026 | $270M |
| Q1 2026 | $788M |
| Q4 2025 | $327M |
| Q3 2025 | $531M |
| Q2 2025 | $688M |
| Q1 2025 | $384M |
| Q4 2024 | $198M |
EXPE spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 14% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
EXPE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Very low |
EXPE has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
EXPE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.0 | Neutral |
EXPE's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
EXPE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EXPE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 15% below |
| PE % | 1 | 47 | 46 pts below |
EXPE has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
EXPE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $273.5 | 4.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $285.2 | 8.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $261.9 | 0.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $226.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $176.0 | 48% above |
EXPE has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
EXPE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $108.3 | $127.0 | +17% |
| 2021 | $127.0 | $183.8 | +45% |
| 2022 | $183.8 | $86.4 | -53% |
| 2023 | $86.4 | $151.8 | +76% |
| 2024 | $151.8 | $186.1 | +23% |
| 2025 | $186.1 | $287.6 | +55% |
| 2026 YTD | $287.6 | $261.1 | -9.2% |
EXPE has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.