BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

DORM

Dorman Products, Inc.

59
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

DORM has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

DORM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

DORM's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

DORM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$132—
Cheap19x$125-5.6%
Current20x$132—
Fair23x$152+15%
Expensive28x$191+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DORM has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over DORM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

DORM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect DORM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DORM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DORM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$164.52
Downside-18%$108.33

Calculated from the latest close: $132.00 on Nov 12.

DORM trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

DORM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.10Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.46Q3 2024: $5.98Q4 2024: $6.14Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $7.34Q3 2025: $8.02Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $6.20Q2 2026: $7.22Q3 2026: $6.72Forward: $8.63
Q4 2023: $4.10Q1 2024: $4.97Q2 2024: $5.46Q3 2024: $5.98Q4 2024: $6.14Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $7.34Q3 2025: $8.02Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $6.20Q2 2026: $7.22Q3 2026: $6.72Forward: $8.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.63+28%
Q3 2026$6.72-16%
Q2 2026$7.22-1.6%
Q1 2026$6.20-11%
Q4 2025$6.64+8.1%
Q3 2025$8.02+34%
Q2 2025$7.34+34%
Q1 2025$6.96+40%
Q4 2024$6.14+50%

DORM has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

DORM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $494MQ1 2024: $469MQ2 2024: $503MQ3 2024: $504MQ4 2024: $534MQ1 2025: $508MQ2 2025: $541MQ3 2025: $544MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $529MQ2 2026: $545MQ3 2026: $562M
Q4 2023: $494MQ1 2024: $469MQ2 2024: $503MQ3 2024: $504MQ4 2024: $534MQ1 2025: $508MQ2 2025: $541MQ3 2025: $544MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $529MQ2 2026: $545MQ3 2026: $562M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$561.7M+3.3%
Q2 2026$544.6M+0.7%
Q1 2026$528.8M+4.2%
Q4 2025$537.9M+0.8%
Q3 2025$543.7M+7.9%
Q2 2025$541M+7.6%
Q1 2025$507.7M+8.3%
Q4 2024$533.8M+8%

DORM has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

DORM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $98,000Q3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $40MQ2 2025: $98,000Q3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$56.9M+3022%
Q2 2026$143.5M+146376%
Q1 2026$35.3M-12%
Q4 2025$33.5M-47%
Q3 2025$1.8M-95%
Q2 2025$98K-100%
Q1 2025$40.3M-2.4%
Q4 2024$63.2M+30%

DORM has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

DORM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-135K shares
1 year-3%-922K shares
3 years-5.4%-1.7M shares
5 years-6.2%-2M shares
Available history-8.7%-2.8M shares

DORM has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over DORM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DORM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

DORM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

DORM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.7Neutral
Stochastic49.5Neutral

DORM's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

DORM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDORMSector medianRelative
PE20x18x9% above
PE %244723 pts below

DORM has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

DORM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$127.73.4% above
20 week MA$131.30.5% above
50 week MA$124.65.9% above
100 week MA$128.62.7% above
200 week MA$110.320% above

DORM has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

DORM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$75.1$89.6+19%
2021$89.6$106.4+19%
2022$106.4$81.3-24%
2023$81.3$83.4+2.6%
2024$83.4$132.2+58%
2025$132.2$126.6-4.2%
2026 YTD$126.6$132.0+4.2%

DORM has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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