BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has a slight edge over DLTH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

DLTH

Duluth Holdings Inc.

52
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

DLTH offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

DLTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

DLTH's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over DLTH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DLTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x51x77x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x51x77x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$1.88-52%
Fair18x$2.66-32%
Current26x$3.90—
Expensive29x$4.40+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DLTH's PE is in its expensive range at 26x.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over DLTH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

DLTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DLTH's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DLTH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DLTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$5.42
Downside-29%$2.78

Calculated from the latest close: $3.90 on Nov 12.

DLTH trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

DLTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.27Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $-0.40Q3 2024: $-0.45Q4 2024: $-0.98Q1 2025: $-1.31Q2 2025: $-1.52Q3 2025: $-1.37Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.31Q3 2026: $0.15
Q4 2023: $-0.27Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $-0.40Q3 2024: $-0.45Q4 2024: $-0.98Q1 2025: $-1.31Q2 2025: $-1.52Q3 2025: $-1.37Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-0.47Q2 2026: $-0.31Q3 2026: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.15+$1.52
Q2 2026-$0.31+$1.21
Q1 2026-$0.47+$0.84
Q4 2025-$0.81+$0.17
Q3 2025-$1.37-$0.92
Q2 2025-$1.52-$1.12
Q1 2025-$1.31-$1.03
Q4 2024-$0.98-$0.71

DLTH has returned to profit: it earned $0.15 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over DLTH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DLTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $142MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $132MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $121M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $142MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $132MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $121M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$121.4M-7.8%
Q2 2026$98.6M-4%
Q1 2026$215.9M-11%
Q4 2025$114.9M-9.6%
Q3 2025$131.7M-7%
Q2 2025$102.7M-12%
Q1 2025$241.3M-1.8%
Q4 2024$127.1M-8.1%

DLTH's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $121M last quarter, down 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

DLTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$38MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: −$35MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$44MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$58MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: −$38MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: −$35MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: −$44MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$58MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.2M-5.5%
Q2 2026-$15.2M+$42.6M
Q1 2026$53.5M+38%
Q4 2025-$8.9M+$34.8M
Q3 2025$29.8M+99%
Q2 2025-$57.8M-$22.6M
Q1 2025$38.7M-36%
Q4 2024-$43.7M-$5.5M

DLTH has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over DLTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DLTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.8%+1.7M shares
1 year+5%+1.7M shares
3 years+10%+3.4M shares
5 years+11%+3.6M shares
Available history+13%+4.1M shares

DLTH has 36M diluted shares, up 5% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

DLTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ4 2025: 5.4xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 20255.4xHigh
Q4 20244.7xHigh
Q3 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 20240.3xVery low
Q1 2024-1.3xNet Cash

DLTH has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

DLTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.2Neutral
Stochastic44.2Neutral

DLTH's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over DLTH on valuation relative to its sector.

DLTH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDLTHSector medianRelative
PE26x18x44% above
PE %734726 pts above

DLTH is trading at 26x earnings, a 44% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

DLTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.992.3% below
20 week MA$4.115.1% below
50 week MA$3.4015% above
100 week MA$2.9831% above
200 week MA$4.033.2% below

DLTH has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

DLTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.3$11.2+8.6%
2021$11.2$15.1+35%
2022$15.1$5.90-61%
2023$5.90$5.38-8.8%
2024$5.38$3.03-44%
2025$3.03$2.11-30%
2026 YTD$2.11$3.90+85%

DLTH has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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