BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over CBRL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
CBRL
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.
CBRL offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
CBRL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
CBRL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over CBRL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CBRL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $21.10 | -67% |
| Fair | 21x | $29.24 | -55% |
| Forward | 31x | $64.86 | — |
| Expensive | 39x | $54.48 | -16% |
| Current | 46x | $64.86 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CBRL's PE is in its expensive range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over CBRL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
CBRL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect CBRL to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over CBRL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CBRL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.10 | +50% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.40 | -32% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.15 | -55% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.19 | -112% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.74 | -59% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.06 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.57 | -5.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.60 | -57% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.80 | -54% |
CBRL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.40 over the past year, against $10.71 in mid-2021.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over CBRL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over CBRL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CBRL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $849.3M | -2.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $797.4M | -2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $874.8M | -7.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $797.2M | -5.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $868M | -2.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $821.1M | +0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $949.4M | +1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $845.1M | +2.6% |
CBRL's revenue is shrinking: $849M last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1% | -3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4.1% | -5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8% | +4.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.8% | -0.5 points |
CBRL's operating margin was 1.6% last quarter, up 1.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
CBRL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $86M | +52% |
| Q2 2026 | $66.9M | +$80.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $24.5M | -59% |
| Q4 2025 | -$88.9M | -$45.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $56.8M | +157% |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.6M | -266% |
| Q1 2025 | $60M | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | -$43.3M | -$2.8M |
CBRL has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
CBRL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +45K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +81.2K shares |
| 3 years | +1.3% | +280K shares |
| 5 years | -5.1% | -1.2M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -1.6M shares |
CBRL has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $5M |
| Q4 2022 | $12.4M |
| Q3 2022 | $58.1M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over CBRL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CBRL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
CBRL's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
CBRL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.0 | Neutral |
CBRL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over CBRL on valuation relative to its sector.
CBRL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CBRL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 18x | 157% above |
| PE % | 88 | 47 | 41 pts above |
CBRL is trading at 46x earnings, a 157% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
CBRL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $62.7 | 3.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $57.4 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $42.1 | 54% above |
| 100 week MA | $45.8 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $59.2 | 9.5% above |
CBRL has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
CBRL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $154.8 | $135.1 | -13% |
| 2021 | $135.1 | $128.1 | -5.2% |
| 2022 | $128.1 | $97.1 | -24% |
| 2023 | $97.1 | $77.1 | -21% |
| 2024 | $77.1 | $56.4 | -27% |
| 2025 | $56.4 | $26.0 | -54% |
| 2026 YTD | $26.0 | $64.9 | +150% |
CBRL has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.