BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

BZUN

Baozun Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score BZUN yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BZUN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Weak

BZUN's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BZUN PE Valuation

BZUN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BZUN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BZUN to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and BZUN's risk to reward.

BZUN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $3.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and BZUN's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over BZUN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BZUN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.21Q4 2023: $-0.69Q1 2024: $-0.66Q2 2024: $-0.68Q3 2024: $-0.58Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.49Q2 2026: $-0.35
Q3 2023: $-1.21Q4 2023: $-0.69Q1 2024: $-0.66Q2 2024: $-0.68Q3 2024: $-0.58Q4 2024: $-0.46Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $-0.47Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.49Q2 2026: $-0.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.35+$0.12
Q1 2026-$0.49-$0.04
Q4 2025-$0.63-$0.17
Q3 2025-$0.53+$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.47+$0.21
Q1 2025-$0.45+$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.46+$0.23
Q3 2024-$0.58+$0.63

BZUN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.35 per share over the past year, against $1.51 at its worst in late 2022.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BZUN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $274MQ4 2023: $417MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $359MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $449MQ1 2025: $310MQ2 2025: $383MQ3 2025: $324MQ4 2025: $476MQ1 2026: $357MQ2 2026: $410M
Q3 2023: $274MQ4 2023: $417MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $359MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $449MQ1 2025: $310MQ2 2025: $383MQ3 2025: $324MQ4 2025: $476MQ1 2026: $357MQ2 2026: $410M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$410.5M+7.2%
Q1 2026$357.3M+15%
Q4 2025$476.1M+5.9%
Q3 2025$323.6M+4.8%
Q2 2025$383.1M+6.8%
Q1 2025$309.8M+4.3%
Q4 2024$449.4M+7.7%
Q3 2024$308.7M+13%

BZUN has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: โˆ’$11.6B over the past year.

BZUN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $40MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$40M+$40M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

BZUN has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over BZUN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BZUN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 60MQ4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 61MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 58MQ2 2026: 59M
Q3 2023: 60MQ4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 61MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 58MQ2 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+823K shares
1 year+2%+1.1M shares
3 years-0.6%-335K shares
5 years-21%-16M shares
Available history-1.2%-712K shares

BZUN has 59M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BZUN Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 12.1xQ1 2025: 141.2x
Q4 2024: 12.1xQ1 2025: 141.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2025141.2xHigh
Q4 202412.1xHigh
Q4 2021-6.6xNet Cash
Q3 20212.6xModerate
Q2 2021-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2020-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2020-2.2xNet Cash

BZUN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

BZUN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.4Neutral
Stochastic59.0Neutral

BZUN's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

BZUN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBZUNSector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

BZUN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

BZUN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.363.6% above
20 week MA$3.0215% above
50 week MA$2.8024% above
100 week MA$2.9518% above
200 week MA$3.228.1% above

BZUN has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

BZUN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.3$32.0-4%
2021$32.0$14.0-56%
2022$14.0$5.01-64%
2023$5.01$2.74-45%
2024$2.74$2.90+5.8%
2025$2.90$2.70-6.9%
2026 YTD$2.70$3.48+29%

BZUN has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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