BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over BYD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
BYD
Boyd Gaming Corporation
BYD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BYD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
BYD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over BYD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BYD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6x | $38.85 | -50% |
| Forward | 10x | $77.11 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $71.91 | -6.7% |
| Current | 12x | $77.11 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $105 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BYD's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x, in its cheap range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over BYD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
BYD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect BYD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
BYD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.56 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.43 | -72% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.53 | +248% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.62 | +271% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.56 | +264% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.85 | +334% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.47 | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.10 | +9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.19 | +1.1% |
BYD has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over BYD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BYD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $990.5M | -1.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $997.4M | +0.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $991.6M | +3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +9.1% |
BYD's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $990M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +5.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | -4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -9.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +8.9 points |
BYD has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
BYD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43.7M | -54% |
| Q2 2026 | -$165.5M | -305% |
| Q1 2026 | -$20.8M | -124% |
| Q4 2025 | $127M | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $94.4M | -35% |
| Q2 2025 | $80.6M | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $86.5M | -46% |
| Q4 2024 | $150.9M | +23% |
BYD's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$16M over the past year.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
BYD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -1.8M shares |
| 1 year | -9.7% | -7.8M shares |
| 3 years | -33% | -36M shares |
| 5 years | -36% | -40.8M shares |
BYD has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $163.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $156M |
| Q1 2026 | $155M |
| Q4 2025 | $185.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $160M |
| Q2 2025 | $105M |
| Q1 2025 | $328M |
| Q4 2024 | $202.6M |
BYD spent $660M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 17% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over BYD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BYD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
BYD's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
BYD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.5 | Neutral |
BYD's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
BYD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BYD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 33% below |
| PE % | 61 | 47 | 14 pts above |
BYD has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
BYD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $72.0 | 7.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $78.3 | 1.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $81.9 | 5.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $79.4 | 2.9% below |
| 200 week MA | $71.3 | 8.2% above |
BYD has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
BYD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.4 | $42.6 | +40% |
| 2021 | $42.6 | $64.7 | +52% |
| 2022 | $64.7 | $55.1 | -15% |
| 2023 | $55.1 | $62.6 | +14% |
| 2024 | $62.6 | $72.4 | +16% |
| 2025 | $72.4 | $86.6 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.6 | $77.1 | -11% |
BYD has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.