BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
BWA has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BWA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
BWA's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over BWA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BWA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.1x | $50.99 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $25.48 | -50% |
| Fair | 13x | $31.93 | -37% |
| Current | 21x | $50.99 | — |
| Expensive | 30x | $71.22 | +40% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BWA's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over BWA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
BWA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect BWA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over BWA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BWA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.60 | +135% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.38 | +240% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.03 | +101% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.72 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.28 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.70 | -82% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.01 | -68% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.32 | -50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.50 | -44% |
BWA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.38 over the past year, against $4.08 in early 2023.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over BWA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BWA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.5B | -2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5B | +0.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | +3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.6B | +4.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B | -2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.4B | -2.4% |
BWA's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.5B last quarter, down 2.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.7% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.5% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.7% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.9% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.9% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.7% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.2% | -17 points |
BWA has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
BWA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $195M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $490M | -2.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $9M | +$46M |
| Q4 2025 | $457M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $257M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $502M | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37M | +$271M |
| Q4 2024 | $521M | -23% |
BWA has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
BWA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -5.5% | -11.9M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -30.7M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -35.2M shares |
| Available history | -1.1% | -2.2M shares |
BWA has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $175M |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M |
| Q4 2025 | $298M |
| Q3 2025 | $102M |
| Q2 2025 | $108M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1M |
BWA spent $723M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over BWA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BWA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2023 | 1.4x | Healthy |
BWA's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
BWA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.4 | Oversold |
BWA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over BWA on valuation relative to its sector.
BWA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BWA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 71 | 47 | 24 pts above |
BWA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
BWA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $56.0 | 8.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $61.7 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.3 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $46.8 | 8.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $41.9 | 22% above |
BWA has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
BWA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.5 | $34.3 | -11% |
| 2021 | $34.3 | $38.4 | +12% |
| 2022 | $38.4 | $35.2 | -8.3% |
| 2023 | $35.2 | $35.9 | +1.9% |
| 2024 | $35.9 | $32.2 | -10% |
| 2025 | $32.2 | $45.6 | +42% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.6 | $51.0 | +12% |
BWA has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.