BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VSEC

VSE Corporation

70
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

VSEC has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

VSEC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Stable
Under pressure

VSEC's revenue and profitability are currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over VSEC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VSEC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x215x322x429x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$80.58-56%
Forward23x$184—
Current45x$184—
Fair63x$258+40%
Expensive147x$601+227%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VSEC's PE is in its fair range at 45x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VSEC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VSEC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails VSEC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VSEC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+85%$340.41
Downside-14%$157.54

Calculated from the latest close: $183.62 on Nov 12.

VSEC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

VSEC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.76Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.80Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $1.14Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.55Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $7.85
Q4 2023: $2.76Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.80Q4 2024: $0.85Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $1.14Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.55Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $7.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.85+92%
Q3 2026$4.08+483%
Q2 2026$2.78+144%
Q1 2026$2.03+148%
Q4 2025$0.55-35%
Q3 2025$0.70-13%
Q2 2025$1.14+42%
Q1 2025$0.82-50%
Q4 2024$0.85-69%

VSEC's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.08 over the past year, up from $0.70 the year before.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

VSEC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $235MQ1 2024: $242MQ2 2024: $266MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $301MQ1 2026: $325MQ2 2026: $449MQ3 2026: $541M
Q4 2023: $235MQ1 2024: $242MQ2 2024: $266MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $301MQ1 2026: $325MQ2 2026: $449MQ3 2026: $541M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$541M+91%
Q2 2026$449.1M+65%
Q1 2026$324.6M+27%
Q4 2025$301.2M+0.7%
Q3 2025$282.9M+3.4%
Q2 2025$272.1M+2.3%
Q1 2025$256M+6%
Q4 2024$299M+27%

VSEC has the edge over BA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over VSEC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VSEC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$69MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: −$87MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$69MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$46.6M+158%
Q2 2026$18.7M+197%
Q1 2026-$68.7M-$19.2M
Q4 2025$30.9M-41%
Q3 2025$18M+309%
Q2 2025$6.3M+$27.8M
Q1 2025-$49.5M+$37.3M
Q4 2024$52.1M+160%

VSEC generated $27M in free cash flow over the past year, up 1.9% from the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has the edge over VSEC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VSEC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+405K shares
1 year+53%+11.1M shares
3 years+146%+18.9M shares
5 years+150%+19.1M shares
Available history+187%+20.7M shares

VSEC has 32M diluted shares, up 53% from a year ago.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over VSEC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VSEC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 2026-6.3xNet Cash
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20254.0xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

VSEC's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

VSEC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic26.8Neutral

VSEC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over VSEC on valuation relative to its sector.

VSEC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVSECSector medianRelative
PE45x24x87% above
PE %405818 pts below

VSEC is trading at 45x earnings, a 87% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

VSEC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$166.510% above
20 week MA$191.64.2% below
50 week MA$193.55.1% below
100 week MA$163.912% above
200 week MA$116.558% above

VSEC has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

VSEC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.0$40.7+4.4%
2021$40.7$61.5+51%
2022$61.5$44.9-27%
2023$44.9$64.6+44%
2024$64.6$96.8+50%
2025$96.8$179.5+85%
2026 YTD$179.5$183.6+2.3%

VSEC has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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