BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VMI

Valmont Industries, Inc.

76
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

VMI has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

VMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Healthy

VMI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over VMI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$423—
Forward17x$423—
Cheap19x$510+21%
Fair26x$711+68%
Expensive34x$911+116%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VMI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VMI, with profitability improving.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails VMI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$563.50
Downside-10%$381.51

Calculated from the latest close: $422.71 on Nov 12.

VMI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

VMI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.78Q1 2024: $7.63Q2 2024: $8.33Q3 2024: $14.78Q4 2024: $17.19Q1 2025: $17.19Q2 2025: $10.75Q3 2025: $11.62Q4 2025: $16.79Q1 2026: $17.98Q2 2026: $25.65Q3 2026: $26.91Forward: $25.44
Q4 2023: $6.78Q1 2024: $7.63Q2 2024: $8.33Q3 2024: $14.78Q4 2024: $17.19Q1 2025: $17.19Q2 2025: $10.75Q3 2025: $11.62Q4 2025: $16.79Q1 2026: $17.98Q2 2026: $25.65Q3 2026: $26.91Forward: $25.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$25.44-5.5%
Q3 2026$26.91+132%
Q2 2026$25.65+139%
Q1 2026$17.98+4.6%
Q4 2025$16.79-2.3%
Q3 2025$11.62-21%
Q2 2025$10.75+29%
Q1 2025$17.19+125%
Q4 2024$17.19+154%

VMI has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over VMI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VMI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $978MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $969MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $978MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $969MQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+5.5%
Q2 2026$1.1B+6.5%
Q1 2026$1B+6.2%
Q4 2025$1B+0.1%
Q3 2025$1B+2.5%
Q2 2025$1.1B+1%
Q1 2025$969.3M-0.9%
Q4 2024$1B+2.1%

VMI's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 5.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over VMI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VMI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $112MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$54.9M-22%
Q2 2026$112.2M-17%
Q1 2026$68.9M+98%
Q4 2025$70.4M-58%
Q3 2025$70.6M-66%
Q2 2025$135.6M+21%
Q1 2025$34.8M+318%
Q4 2024$167.8M+86%

VMI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $306M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

VMI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 20MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-129K shares
1 year-2.4%-485K shares
3 years-9.9%-2.1M shares
5 years-9.5%-2M shares
Available history-11%-2.4M shares

VMI has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

VMI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

VMI has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

VMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.2Neutral
Stochastic11.5Oversold

VMI's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

VMI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVMISector medianRelative
PE16x24x35% below
PE %55853 pts below

VMI has the edge over BA on valuation relative to its sector.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

VMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$442.84.5% below
20 week MA$476.711% below
50 week MA$467.59.6% below
100 week MA$405.44.3% above
200 week MA$336.626% above

VMI has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

VMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$150.4$172.1+14%
2021$172.1$244.8+42%
2022$244.8$335.1+37%
2023$335.1$233.5-30%
2024$233.5$306.5+31%
2025$306.5$412.2+34%
2026 YTD$412.2$422.7+2.5%

VMI has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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