BA
The Boeing Company
BA has a slight edge over UPS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
UPS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
UPS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
UPS's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA has the edge over UPS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UPS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $73.78 | -33% |
| Forward | 14x | $110 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $92.54 | -16% |
| Current | 21x | $110 | — |
| Expensive | 29x | $148 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UPS's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
UPS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UPS, with profitability improving.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has the edge over UPS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UPS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.96 | +53% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.20 | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.38 | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.18 | -9.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.56 | -2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.46 | -2.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.71 | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.85 | -0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.75 | -13% |
UPS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.20 over the past year, against $14.68 in late 2021.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA has the edge over UPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA's operating margin was 1.5% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
UPS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $22.9B | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.8B | +7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $21.2B | -1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.5B | -3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $21.4B | -3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.2B | -2.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.5B | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.3B | +1.5% |
UPS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $22.9B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.6% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.6% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.7% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +1.6 points |
UPS has the edge over BA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA has the edge over UPS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UPS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $166M | +$941M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.6B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B | +131% |
| Q2 2025 | -$775M | -173% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B | -37% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.2B | +512% |
UPS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $6.4B over the past year.
BA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +4.3% | +32.8M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +204M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +227M shares |
BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
UPS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6M shares |
| 5 years | -3.1% | -27M shares |
| Available history | -2% | -17M shares |
UPS has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $1B |
| Q4 2024 | — |
UPS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
UPS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3x | Healthy |
UPS has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
UPS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 74.5 | Neutral |
UPS's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA has the edge over UPS on valuation relative to its sector.
UPS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | UPS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 24x | 12% below |
| PE % | 73 | 58 | 15 pts above |
UPS is trading at 21x earnings, a 12% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
UPS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $100.9 | 9.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $104.2 | 5.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $104.6 | 5.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $103.1 | 7% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.4 | 15% below |
UPS has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
UPS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $118.9 | $172.2 | +45% |
| 2021 | $172.2 | $212.2 | +23% |
| 2022 | $212.2 | $177.0 | -17% |
| 2023 | $177.0 | $157.2 | -11% |
| 2024 | $157.2 | $126.1 | -20% |
| 2025 | $126.1 | $100.5 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $100.5 | $110.4 | +9.8% |
UPS has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.