BA
The Boeing Company
BA has the edge over TKR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
TKR
The Timken Company
TKR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
TKR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
TKR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA has the edge over TKR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TKR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $50.52 | -54% |
| Fair | 15x | $62.02 | -44% |
| Forward | 16x | $110 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $82.47 | -25% |
| Current | 27x | $110 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TKR's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TKR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TKR, with profitability improving.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has the edge over TKR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TKR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.09 | +75% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.04 | -4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.69 | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | -5.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.11 | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.23 | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.40 | -9.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.64 | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.99 | -8.6% |
TKR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.04 over the past year, against $5.95 in late 2023.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA has the edge over TKR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA's operating margin was 1.5% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TKR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +3.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | -0.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | -4.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | -1.6% |
TKR's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | -5.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | -2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -0.4 points |
TKR has the edge over BA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA has the edge over TKR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TKR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $221.4M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $80.5M | +2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $500K | -98% |
| Q4 2025 | $140.7M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $163.8M | +86% |
| Q2 2025 | $78.2M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.4M | +350% |
| Q4 2024 | $125M | +66% |
TKR generated $443M in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
BA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +4.3% | +32.8M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +204M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +227M shares |
BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
TKR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -261K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -277K shares |
| 3 years | -2.4% | -1.7M shares |
| 5 years | -9.3% | -7.2M shares |
| Available history | -9.2% | -7.1M shares |
TKR has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $63.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $20M |
| Q1 2026 | $28M |
| Q4 2025 | $11.7M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $22.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $23.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.1M |
TKR spent $124M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 125% from the year before.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
TKR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.0x | Moderate |
TKR has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
TKR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.4 | Oversold |
TKR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA has the edge over TKR on valuation relative to its sector.
TKR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TKR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 24x | 14% above |
| PE % | 94 | 58 | 36 pts above |
TKR is trading at 27x earnings, a 14% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
TKR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $112.6 | 2% below |
| 20 week MA | $123.2 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $112.9 | 2.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $93.7 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $87.3 | 27% above |
TKR has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
TKR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $56.6 | $77.4 | +37% |
| 2021 | $77.4 | $67.4 | -13% |
| 2022 | $67.4 | $70.7 | +4.9% |
| 2023 | $70.7 | $80.2 | +13% |
| 2024 | $80.2 | $71.5 | -11% |
| 2025 | $71.5 | $86.5 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.5 | $110.4 | +28% |
TKR has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.