BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SWK

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

69
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SWK has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

SWK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

SWK's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over SWK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SWK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$78.98-30%
Current20x$113—
Fair22x$121+7.1%
Expensive30x$169+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SWK's PE is in its fair range at 20x.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SWK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SWK to show an outlook.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails SWK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SWK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$154.08
Downside-14%$96.88

Calculated from the latest close: $113.02 on Nov 12.

SWK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

SWK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
Q4 2023: $-2.07Q1 2024: $-0.68Q2 2024: $-1.93Q3 2024: $-1.36Q4 2024: $1.95Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $3.16Q3 2025: $2.90Q1 2026: $2.65Q2 2026: $2.44Q3 2026: $4.10Q4 2026: $5.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$5.59+93%
Q2 2026$4.10+30%
Q1 2026$2.44+0.8%
Q4 2025$2.65+36%
Q3 2025$2.90+$4.26
Q2 2025$3.16+$5.09
Q1 2025$2.42+$3.10
Q4 2024$1.95+$4.02

SWK has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over SWK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.8BQ4 2024: $3.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $4BQ4 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-0.6%
Q2 2026$4B+0.4%
Q1 2026$3.8B+2.7%
Q4 2025$3.7B-1%
Q3 2025$3.8B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.9B-2%
Q1 2025$3.7B-3.2%
Q4 2024$3.7B-0.4%

SWK's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over SWK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SWK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
Q4 2023: $647MQ1 2024: −$497MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: −$485MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $883MQ2 2026: −$447MQ3 2026: $698MQ4 2026: $585M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$585M+277%
Q2 2026$698.2M+418%
Q1 2026-$447.3M+$37.7M
Q4 2025$882.9M+56%
Q3 2025$155.3M-22%
Q2 2025$134.7M-72%
Q1 2025-$485M+$11.7M
Q4 2024$564.6M-13%

SWK generated $1.7B in free cash flow over the past year, about five times what it generated the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

SWK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 151MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 152MQ3 2025: 152MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 151MQ4 2026: 149M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2M shares
1 year-2.2%-3.3M shares
3 years-1.3%-1.9M shares
5 years-10%-16.7M shares
Available history-1.3%-1.9M shares

SWK has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

SWK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 7.1xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 9.2xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 8.4xQ3 2026: 3.4xQ4 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20268.4xHigh
Q4 20257.1xHigh
Q3 20259.2xHigh
Q2 20255.9xHigh
Q1 20254.4xHigh
Q4 20243.5xElevated

SWK has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

SWK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.0Overbought
Stochastic81.3Overbought

SWK's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over SWK on valuation relative to its sector.

SWK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSWKSector medianRelative
PE20x24x16% below
PE %435815 pts below

SWK is trading at 20x earnings, a 16% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

SWK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$99.314% above
20 week MA$96.517% above
50 week MA$85.932% above
100 week MA$79.642% above
200 week MA$84.833% above

SWK has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

SWK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$165.9$179.9+8.5%
2021$179.9$182.2+1.3%
2022$182.2$73.9-59%
2023$73.9$98.1+33%
2024$98.1$80.6-18%
2025$80.6$75.4-6.5%
2026 YTD$75.4$113.0+50%

SWK has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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