BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SSD

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.

63
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SSD has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

SSD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SSD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over SSD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SSD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$155-22%
Forward21x$199—
Fair22x$202+1.4%
Current22x$199—
Expensive24x$226+14%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SSD's PE is in its fair range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over SSD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SSD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SSD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails SSD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SSD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$246.72
Downside-14%$170.15

Calculated from the latest close: $198.77 on Nov 12.

SSD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

SSD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $7.98Q2 2024: $7.79Q3 2024: $7.57Q4 2024: $7.60Q1 2025: $7.68Q2 2025: $7.84Q3 2025: $8.21Q4 2025: $8.24Q1 2026: $8.52Q2 2026: $9.14Q3 2026: $9.24Forward: $9.44
Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $7.98Q2 2024: $7.79Q3 2024: $7.57Q4 2024: $7.60Q1 2025: $7.68Q2 2025: $7.84Q3 2025: $8.21Q4 2025: $8.24Q1 2026: $8.52Q2 2026: $9.14Q3 2026: $9.24Forward: $9.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.44+2.2%
Q3 2026$9.24+13%
Q2 2026$9.14+17%
Q1 2026$8.52+11%
Q4 2025$8.24+8.4%
Q3 2025$8.21+8.5%
Q2 2025$7.84+0.6%
Q1 2025$7.68-3.8%
Q4 2024$7.60-8%

SSD has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

SSD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $502MQ1 2024: $531MQ2 2024: $597MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $517MQ1 2025: $539MQ2 2025: $631MQ3 2025: $624MQ4 2025: $539MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $671MQ3 2026: $638M
Q4 2023: $502MQ1 2024: $531MQ2 2024: $597MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $517MQ1 2025: $539MQ2 2025: $631MQ3 2025: $624MQ4 2025: $539MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $671MQ3 2026: $638M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$638.1M+2.3%
Q2 2026$671.1M+6.3%
Q1 2026$588M+9.1%
Q4 2025$539.3M+4.2%
Q3 2025$623.5M+6.2%
Q2 2025$631.1M+5.7%
Q1 2025$538.9M+1.6%
Q4 2024$517.4M+3.1%

SSD's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $638M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $16M over the past year.

SSD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$43MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $198MQ3 2026: $161M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $60MQ1 2025: −$43MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $198MQ3 2026: $161M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$161.4M+21%
Q2 2026$197.5M+135%
Q1 2026$17.9M+$60.5M
Q4 2025$119M+97%
Q3 2025$133.8M+130%
Q2 2025$84.2M+19%
Q1 2025-$42.6M-$11.1M
Q4 2024$60.3M+$62.8M

SSD generated $496M in free cash flow over the past year, up 110% from the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

SSD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-333K shares
1 year-2.3%-966K shares
3 years-5%-2.1M shares
5 years-6.3%-2.7M shares
Available history-9.3%-4.2M shares

SSD has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

SSD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

SSD has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

SSD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.5Neutral
Stochastic69.0Neutral

SSD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over SSD on valuation relative to its sector.

SSD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSSDSector medianRelative
PE22x24x10% below
PE %455813 pts below

SSD is trading at 22x earnings, a 10% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

SSD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$183.98.1% above
20 week MA$186.06.9% above
50 week MA$184.18% above
100 week MA$175.413% above
200 week MA$167.918% above

SSD has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

SSD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.5$92.9+15%
2021$92.9$134.0+44%
2022$134.0$89.2-33%
2023$89.2$198.0+122%
2024$198.0$166.8-16%
2025$166.8$167.2+0.2%
2026 YTD$167.2$198.8+19%

SSD has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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