BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has the edge over SPCE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SPCE

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

43
Fundamentals13/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

SPCE offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

SPCE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

SPCE's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SPCE PE Valuation

SPCE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SPCE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SPCE's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails SPCE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPCE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+97%$5.27
Downside-49%$1.36

Calculated from the latest close: $2.67 on Nov 12.

SPCE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over SPCE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SPCE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-29.80Q1 2024: $-23.40Q2 2024: $-18.56Q3 2024: $-15.62Q4 2024: $-18.64Q1 2025: $-16.02Q2 2025: $-13.13Q3 2025: $-11.56Q4 2025: $-5.44Q1 2026: $-3.87Q2 2026: $-2.90Q3 2026: $-2.20
Q4 2023: $-29.80Q1 2024: $-23.40Q2 2024: $-18.56Q3 2024: $-15.62Q4 2024: $-18.64Q1 2025: $-16.02Q2 2025: $-13.13Q3 2025: $-11.56Q4 2025: $-5.44Q1 2026: $-3.87Q2 2026: $-2.90Q3 2026: $-2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.20+$9.36
Q2 2026-$2.90+$10.23
Q1 2026-$3.87+$12.15
Q4 2025-$5.44+$13.20
Q3 2025-$11.56+$4.06
Q2 2025-$13.13+$5.43
Q1 2025-$16.02+$7.38
Q4 2024-$18.64+$11.16

SPCE is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.20 per share over the past year, against $42.60 at its worst in mid-2023.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over SPCE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPCE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $402,000Q4 2024: $429,000Q1 2025: $461,000Q2 2025: $406,000Q3 2025: $365,000Q4 2025: $312,000Q1 2026: $227,000Q2 2026: $134,000Q3 2026: $427,000
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $402,000Q4 2024: $429,000Q1 2025: $461,000Q2 2025: $406,000Q3 2025: $365,000Q4 2025: $312,000Q1 2026: $227,000Q2 2026: $134,000Q3 2026: $427,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$427K+17%
Q2 2026$134K-67%
Q1 2026$227K-51%
Q4 2025$312K-27%
Q3 2025$365K-9.2%
Q2 2025$406K-90%
Q1 2025$461K-77%
Q4 2024$429K-85%

SPCE's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $427,000 last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over SPCE on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SPCE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$126MQ2 2024: −$114MQ3 2024: −$118MQ4 2024: −$117MQ1 2025: −$122MQ2 2025: −$114MQ3 2025: −$108MQ4 2025: −$95MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: −$91MQ3 2026: −$99M
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$126MQ2 2024: −$114MQ3 2024: −$118MQ4 2024: −$117MQ1 2025: −$122MQ2 2025: −$114MQ3 2025: −$108MQ4 2025: −$95MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: −$91MQ3 2026: −$99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$99.1M+$8.6M
Q2 2026-$90.7M+$23.1M
Q1 2026-$93.3M+$28.7M
Q4 2025-$94.6M+$22.1M
Q3 2025-$107.8M+$10.2M
Q2 2025-$113.8M-$260K
Q1 2025-$122M+$4.3M
Q4 2024-$116.7M-$3.1M

SPCE has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$378M over the past year, against −$460M the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has the edge over SPCE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPCE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 152M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 111MQ3 2026: 152M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+37%+40.8M shares
1 year+232%+106M shares
3 years+989%+138M shares
5 years+1195%+140M shares
Available history+1460%+142M shares

SPCE has 152M diluted shares, up 232% from a year ago.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

SPCE Net Leverage

SPCE's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

SPCE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

SPCE's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

SPCE PE vs Industrials Sector

SPCE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

SPCE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.752.9% below
20 week MA$2.825.3% below
50 week MA$2.9911% below
100 week MA$3.3821% below
200 week MA$23.088% below

SPCE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 88% below its 200-week average.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

SPCE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$231.2$517.0+124%
2021$517.0$290.6-44%
2022$290.6$73.0-75%
2023$73.0$49.0-33%
2024$49.0$6.38-87%
2025$6.38$3.16-50%
2026 YTD$3.16$2.67-16%

SPCE has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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