BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has a slight edge over RXO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RXO

RXO, Inc.

56
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

RXO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RXO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

RXO's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RXO PE Valuation

RXO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 54x next year's earnings.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RXO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RXO to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails RXO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RXO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$47.68
Downside-40%$17.06

Calculated from the latest close: $28.30 on Nov 12.

RXO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over RXO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RXO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.10Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-2.21Q3 2025: $-0.48Q4 2025: $-0.59Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.62Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $0.52
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $-0.10Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-2.21Q3 2025: $-0.48Q4 2025: $-0.59Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.62Q3 2026: $-0.52Forward: $0.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.52—
Q3 2026-$0.52-$0.04
Q2 2026-$0.62+$1.59
Q1 2026-$0.62+$1.60
Q4 2025-$0.59+$1.58
Q3 2025-$0.48+$1.51
Q2 2025-$2.21-$2.02
Q1 2025-$2.22-$2.12
Q4 2024-$2.17-7333%

RXO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.52 per share over the past year, against $2.22 at its worst in early 2025.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

RXO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $978MQ1 2024: $913MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $978MQ1 2024: $913MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+32%
Q2 2026$1.8B+25%
Q1 2026$1.4B-0.6%
Q4 2025$1.5B-12%
Q3 2025$1.4B+37%
Q2 2025$1.4B+53%
Q1 2025$1.4B+57%
Q4 2024$1.7B+70%

RXO's revenue is growing: $1.9B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over RXO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RXO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$52MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$52MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12M+33%
Q2 2026-$52M-678%
Q1 2026-$24M-$7M
Q4 2025-$9M+$10M
Q3 2025$9M+$27M
Q2 2025$9M+$25M
Q1 2025-$17M-$13M
Q4 2024-$19M-2000%

RXO's free cash flow was −$73M over the past year, against −$18M the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

RXO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 119MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 169MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 172M
Q4 2023: 119MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 168MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 169MQ2 2026: 170MQ3 2026: 172M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+2.4M shares
1 year+2%+3.4M shares
3 years+47%+55M shares
5 years+49%+56.9M shares

RXO has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over RXO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RXO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 5.3xQ3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 10.7xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 9.2xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 10.5xQ1 2026: 12.9xQ2 2026: 16.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 5.3xQ3 2024: 6.1xQ4 2024: 10.7xQ1 2025: 13.4xQ2 2025: 9.2xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 10.5xQ1 2026: 12.9xQ2 2026: 16.0xQ3 2026: 8.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.4xHigh
Q2 202616.0xHigh
Q1 202612.9xHigh
Q4 202510.5xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20259.2xHigh
Q1 202513.4xHigh
Q4 202410.7xHigh

RXO's net debt is about 8.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.3 years a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

RXO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.7Neutral
Stochastic85.5Overbought

RXO's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

RXO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRXOSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

RXO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

RXO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.66.3% above
20 week MA$24.615% above
50 week MA$20.438% above
100 week MA$18.949% above
200 week MA$20.637% above

RXO has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

RXO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$21.5$16.3-24%
2023$16.3$23.3+43%
2024$23.3$24.4+4.7%
2025$24.4$12.7-48%
2026 YTD$12.7$28.3+123%

RXO has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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