BA
The Boeing Company
BA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RSG
Republic Services, Inc.
RSG has a slight edge over BA overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
RSG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
RSG's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA has the edge over RSG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RSG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 28x | $206 | -19% |
| Fair | 32x | $230 | -9.3% |
| Forward | 33x | $253 | — |
| Expensive | 35x | $252 | -0.6% |
| Current | 35x | $253 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RSG's PE is in its expensive range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RSG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RSG, with profitability improving.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
RSG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.75 | +7.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.23 | +7.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.06 | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.97 | +5.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.85 | +5.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.72 | +7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.76 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.63 | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.49 | +19% |
RSG has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA's operating margin was 1.5% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RSG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.2B | +7.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.1B | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.7B | +2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7B | +2% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +3.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.9B | +4.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.6B | +5.4% |
RSG's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $5.2B last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +1.4 points |
RSG has the edge over BA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA has the edge over RSG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RSG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $644M | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $761M | +8.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $751M | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $404M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $737M | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $702M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $566M | +91% |
| Q4 2024 | $524.4M | +50% |
RSG's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.6B over the past year, up 1.2% from the year before.
BA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +4.3% | +32.8M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +204M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +227M shares |
BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
RSG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | -1.8% | -5.5M shares |
| 3 years | -3.2% | -10.1M shares |
| 5 years | -4% | -12.9M shares |
| Available history | -4.8% | -15.5M shares |
RSG has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $197M |
| Q2 2026 | $367M |
| Q1 2026 | $292M |
| Q4 2025 | $271M |
| Q3 2025 | $540M |
| Q2 2025 | $4M |
| Q1 2025 | $55M |
| Q4 2024 | $161.3M |
RSG spent $1.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 48% from the year before.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
RSG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.6x | Moderate |
RSG has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
RSG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 71.9 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 90.0 | Overbought |
RSG's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA has the edge over RSG on valuation relative to its sector.
RSG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | RSG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35x | 24x | 45% above |
| PE % | 85 | 58 | 27 pts above |
RSG is trading at 35x earnings, a 45% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
RSG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $231.8 | 9.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $223.8 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $218.0 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $224.4 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $196.8 | 29% above |
RSG has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
RSG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $90.2 | $95.6 | +6% |
| 2021 | $95.6 | $135.4 | +42% |
| 2022 | $135.4 | $130.8 | -3.4% |
| 2023 | $130.8 | $164.9 | +26% |
| 2024 | $164.9 | $202.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $202.9 | $213.4 | +5.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $213.4 | $253.0 | +19% |
RSG has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.